CFA Level I quantitative methods and fixed income practice: cram pack

Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 20 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.

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1Formulas and methods

Time value of money

Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i

Method

  1. Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
  2. Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
  3. Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
  4. Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.

NPV & IRR

Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)

Method

  1. List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
  2. Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
  3. Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
  4. For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.

Bond pricing & yield

Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down

Method

  1. Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
  2. Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
  3. For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
  4. Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.

CAPM & WACC

CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D

Descriptive statistics

Mean
x̄ = Σx/n
Sample standard deviation
s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
Median
middle value of the sorted data
z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Normal distribution
68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ

Probability

Complement
P(not A) = 1 − P(A)
Addition rule
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Independent events
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)·P(B)
Conditional probability
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B)
Binomial
P(X = k) = C(n,k)·pk(1 − p)n−k

Normal distribution

z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Below x
P(X < x) = Φ(z)
Above x
P(X > x) = 1 − Φ(z)
Between
Φ(z2) − Φ(z1)
Percentile
x = μ + z·σ

Method

  1. Convert the value to a z-score: z = (x − μ)/σ.
  2. Look up Φ(z), the area to the left of z.
  3. For the area to the right use 1 − Φ(z); for an interval subtract the two left areas.
  4. For a percentile, work backwards: find z for the area, then x = μ + z·σ.

Confidence intervals

σ known
x̄ ± z·σ/√n
σ unknown
x̄ ± t·s/√n, df = n − 1
Critical z
90%: 1.645, 95%: 1.96, 99%: 2.576
Sample size
n = (z·σ/E)², rounded up

Method

  1. Decide between z (population σ known) and t (only the sample s, with n − 1 degrees of freedom).
  2. Find the critical value for the confidence level.
  3. Margin of error: E = critical value × standard deviation/√n.
  4. Interval: x̄ ± E.

Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

z-test for a mean
z = (x̄ − μ0)/(σ/√n)
t-test for a mean
t = (x̄ − μ0)/(s/√n), df = n − 1
Two-sided at 5%
reject H0 if |z| > 1.96
Confidence interval
x̄ ± z·σ/√n

Method

  1. State H₀ and H₁ and decide whether the test is one- or two-sided.
  2. Calculate the test statistic: (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n), or with s and t.
  3. Compare with the critical value, or find the p-value.
  4. Reject H₀ if the statistic is beyond the critical value (p below α), and state the conclusion in words.

Linear regression & correlation

Sums of squares
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = Σx² − (Σx)²/n, Sxy = Σxy − ΣxΣy/n
Slope
b = Sxy/Sxx
Intercept
a = ȳ − b·x̄
Correlation
r = Sxy/√(SxxSyy)
Residual
e = y − ŷ

2Practice problems

1.Time value of moneyMedium
years0123456€20 000FV = ?

You invest €20 000 at a nominal rate of 3.6% per year, compounded quarterly. Find the value FV of the investment after 6 years.

PV = €20 0003.6% / 4n = 6
FV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
months0123…60€25 000A?AAA

A loan of €25 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 5 years. The interest rate is 2.4% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.

P = €25 0002.4% / 12N = 60
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
years01234−20 0008 0007 0009 0005 000

An investment of €20 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 4: €8 000, €7 000, €9 000, €5 000. The cost of capital is 12%. Find the net present value NPV.

r = 12%CF0 = −20 000CF1 = 8 000CF2 = 7 000CF3 = 9 000CF4 = 5 000
NPV = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
years0123−40 00026 00016 50028 500

A project costs €40 000 and returns €26 000, €16 500, €28 500 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.

CF0 = −40 000CF1 = 26 000CF2 = 16 500CF3 = 28 500
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
half-years0123…14€10€10€10 + €1 000P = ?

A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 2% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 7 years. The yield to maturity is 8% per year. Find the price P of the bond.

F = €1 000coupon = 2%YTM = 8%n = 7
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
years012345€1 085€70€70 + €1 000

A bond with a face value of €1 000 and an annual coupon of 7% matures in 5 years and sells for €1 085. Find its yield to maturity YTM in percent.

F = €1 000coupon = 7%n = 5P = €1 085
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
WACC = ?equity€12 000 000re​ = 10%debt€6 000 000rd​ = 5%T = 20%

A company has equity worth €12 000 000 and debt worth €6 000 000. Its cost of equity is 10%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 5% and the tax rate is 20%. Find the WACC.

E = €12 000 000D = €6 000 000re = 10%rd = 5%T = 20%
WACC = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
WACC = ?equity4 000 000 × €48.50D0​ = €1.70g = 5%debt€97 000 000rd​ = 5%T = 28%

A company has 4 000 000 shares trading at €48.50; the book value of its equity is €58 200 000. It just paid a dividend of €1.70 per share, and dividends grow by 5% per year. Its debt has a market value of €97 000 000 and a pre-tax cost of 5%. The tax rate is 28%. Find the WACC, using the dividend growth model for the cost of equity.

N = 4 000 000P0 = €48.50book equity = €58 200 000D0 = €1.70g = 5%D = €97 000 000rd = 5%T = 28%
WACC = %
9.Descriptive statisticsMedium
15202530354045505560

Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 31, 60, 22, 22, 52, 49, 15.

n = 7
s =
10.Descriptive statisticsHard
z −2−1012

Exam scores are normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 20. Find the z-score z of a score of 108.

μ = 100σ = 20x = 108
z =
11.ProbabilityMedium
n = 9k = 2N = ?

In how many ways N can a committee of 2 people be chosen from a group of 9? The order does not matter.

n = 9k = 2
N =
12.ProbabilityHard
€p(x)−20.8980.1380.01

A game costs €2 to play. You win €10 with probability 0.1 and €40 with probability 0.01; otherwise you win nothing. The stake is not returned. Find the expected net gain E(G) per game.

stake = €2€10: p = 0.1€40: p = 0.01
E(G) = €
13.Normal distributionMedium
−3−2−10123zshaded area between −z and z = 0.9233

Drag z so that the shaded area between −z and z under the standard normal curve is 0.9233. Find z to two decimals.

A = 0.9233
z =
14.Normal distributionHard
μ = 100x = ?20%

The IQ scores are normally distributed with mean 100 points and standard deviation 15 points. Find the value x below which 20% of them lie (the 20th percentile).

μ = 100σ = 15P = 20%
x = points
15.Confidence intervalsMedium
n = 16, s = 3LUx̄ = 85.5E = ?99%

A sample of 16 items has mean 85.5 and standard deviation s = 3. The population is roughly normal. Find the margin of error E of a 99% confidence interval for the mean.

n = 16x̄ = 85.5s = 399%t(15) = 2.947
E =
16.Confidence intervalsHard
σ = 30, n = ?x̄ − Ex̄ + Ex̄E = 599%

The population standard deviation is 30. How large a sample n do you need so that a 99% confidence interval for the mean has a margin of error of at most 5?

σ = 30E = 599%
n =
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
t −1.9901.99

A sample of 81 students has a mean score of 98.76 and a sample standard deviation of 8. Find the test statistic t for H₀: μ = 100.

μ₀ = 100x̄ = 98.76s = 8n = 81
t =
18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
σ = 5, n = ?x̄ − Ex̄ + Ex̄E = 2.595%

How large must a sample be so that the 95% confidence interval for a mean has a margin of error of at most 2.5? The standard deviation is 5. Find the smallest sample size n.

σ = 5E = 2.595%
n =
19.Linear regression & correlationMedium
xy124223317414515611xy24610152025

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = car age in years and y = price in k€. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r.

n = 6
r =
20.Linear regression & correlationHard
xy2941862483010371246xy5102040x = 3

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. A new observation (3, 8) is made. Find its residual e = y − ŷ.

n = 6(3, 8)
e =

3Solutions

1.Time value of money

Answer: FV = 24798 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Rate and number of periods

i = r/m = 0.036000000000000004/4 = 0.009
N = m·n = 4·6 = 24

Future value

FV = 20 000·(1 + 0.009)24 = 20 000·1.24 = €24 798.08

Answer

FV = €24 798.08
2.Time value of money

Answer: A = 442.6 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Monthly rate and number of payments

i = 0.024/12 = 0.002
N = 12·5 = 60

Payment

The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.

(1 + i)−N = 0.887
A = 25 000·0.002/(1 − 0.887) = €442.58

Answer

A = €442.58
3.NPV & IRR

Answer: NPV = 2307 €

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Present value of each cash flow

CF0 = −20 000
CF1/(1 + 0.12)1 = 8 000/1.12 = 7 142.86
CF2/(1 + 0.12)2 = 7 000/1.254 = 5 580.36
CF3/(1 + 0.12)3 = 9 000/1.405 = 6 406.02
CF4/(1 + 0.12)4 = 5 000/1.574 = 3 177.59

Add them up

NPV = €2 306.83

Answer

NPV = €2 306.83

NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.

4.NPV & IRR

Answer: IRR = 34.81 %

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Bracket the IRR

NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.

NPV(30%) = 2 735.55
NPV(35%) = −103.64

Narrow down

Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.

IRR ≈ 30 + 5·2 735.55/(2 735.55 − (−103.64)) = 34.82%
exact: NPV(34.81%) = 0 → IRR = 34.81%

Answer

IRR = 34.81%
5.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: P = 683.1 €

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Per period

C = €10.00, i = 0.04, N = 14

Present value of the coupons

€10.00·(1 − 0.5775)/0.04 = €105.63

Present value of the face value

€1 000·0.5775 = €577.48

Price

P = €683.11

Answer

P = €683.11

The yield is above the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a discount.

6.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: YTM = 5.035 %

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Equation for the yield

€1 085 = €70·(1 − (1 + y)⁻⁵)/y + €1 000/(1 + y)⁵

Solve numerically

P(5%) = €1 086.59, P(6%) = €1 042.12
YTM = 5.035%

Answer

YTM = 5.035%
7.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 8 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Weights

V = €18 000 000, E/V = 0.6667, D/V = 0.3333

WACC

WACC = 0.6667·10% + 0.3333·5%·(1 − 0.2) = 8%

Answer

WACC = 8%
8.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 6.987 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Cost of equity

D1 = 1.7·1.05 = €1.78
re = 1.785/48.5 + 0.05 = 8.68%

Market values

E = 4 000 000·€48.50 = €194 000 000
V = €291 000 000, E/V = 0.6667, D/V = 0.3333

WACC

WACC = 0.6667·8.68% + 0.3333·5%·(1 − 0.28) = 6.987%

Answer

WACC = 6.987%
9.Descriptive statistics

Answer: s = 17.6

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Mean

x̄ = 251/7 = 35.86

Squared deviations

Σ(x − x̄)² = (−4.857)² + 24.14² + (−13.86)² + (−13.86)² + 16.14² + 13.14² + (−20.86)² = 1859

Standard deviation

s = √(1859/6) = 17.6

Answer

s = 17.6
10.Descriptive statistics

Answer: z = 0.4

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Standardise

z = (108 − 100)/20 = 0.4

Answer

z = 0.4
11.Probability

Answer: N = 36

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

Combinations

C(9, 2) = (9·8)/(2·1) = 36

Answer

N = 36
12.Probability

Answer: E(G) = −0.6 €

Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.

Net outcomes

G: 8 (p = 0.1), 38 (p = 0.01), −2 (p = 0.89)

Expected value

E(G) = 8·0.1 + 38·0.01 − 2·0.89 = −0.6 €

Answer

E(G) = −0.6 €

A negative value means you lose money on average.

13.Normal distribution

Answer: z = 1.77

From an area back to z: Φ(z) is the area to the left of z. For a left-tail area A, find z with Φ(z) = A in the table. A right-tail area A means Φ(z) = 1 − A. A central area A between −z and z leaves (1 − A)/2 in each tail, so Φ(z) = (1 + A)/2. For a value x, use x = μ + zσ.

Area to the left of z

Φ(z) = (1 + 0.9233)/2 = 0.9616

Read the z-table backwards

Find 0.9616 inside the table and read off z.

z = 1.77

Answer

z = 1.77
14.Normal distribution

Answer: x = 87.38 points

Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.

z for the percentile

Φ(z) = 0.2 → z = −0.8416

Back to x

x = 100 + −0.8416·15 = 87.38 points

Answer

x = 87.38 points
15.Confidence intervals

Answer: E = 2.21

Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.

Critical value

df = n − 1 = 15, t = 2.947

Margin of error

E = 2.947·3/√16 = 2.21

Answer

E = 2.21
16.Confidence intervals

Answer: n = 239

Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.

Solve for n

n = (2.576·30/5)² = 238.9

Round up

A sample size is a whole number, and rounding down would make the margin too large.

n = 239

Answer

n = 239
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: t = −1.395

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Standard error

SE = 8/√81 = 8/9 = 0.8889

Test statistic

t = (98.76 − 100)/0.8889 = −1.395

Answer

t = −1.395
t0.025; df = 80 = 1.99

|t| < 1.99, so H₀ is not rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).

18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: n = 16

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Solve for n

n = (1.96·5/2.5)² = 15.37

Round up

n = 16

Answer

n = 16
19.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: r = −0.9523

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 21/6 = 3.5
ȳ = 104/6 = 17.33

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 17.5
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = −46
Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² = 133.3

Correlation coefficient

r = −46/√(17.5·133.3) = −0.9523

Answer

r = −0.9523
20.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: e = −5.162

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 42/6 = 7
ȳ = 164/6 = 27.33

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 248

Regression line

b = 248/70 = 3.543
a = 27.33 − 3.543·7 = 2.533
ŷ = 2.533 + 3.543·x

Predicted value

ŷ = 2.533 + 3.543·3 = 13.16

Residual

e = 8 − 13.16 = −5.162

Answer

e = −5.162

The point lies below the line.

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