CFA Level I quantitative methods and fixed income practice: cram pack

Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 20 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.

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1Formulas and methods

Time value of money

Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i

Method

  1. Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
  2. Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
  3. Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
  4. Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.

NPV & IRR

Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)

Method

  1. List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
  2. Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
  3. Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
  4. For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.

Bond pricing & yield

Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down

Method

  1. Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
  2. Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
  3. For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
  4. Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.

CAPM & WACC

CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D

Descriptive statistics

Mean
x̄ = Σx/n
Sample standard deviation
s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
Median
middle value of the sorted data
z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Normal distribution
68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ

Probability

Complement
P(not A) = 1 − P(A)
Addition rule
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Independent events
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)·P(B)
Conditional probability
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B)
Binomial
P(X = k) = C(n,k)·pk(1 − p)n−k

Normal distribution

z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Below x
P(X < x) = Φ(z)
Above x
P(X > x) = 1 − Φ(z)
Between
Φ(z2) − Φ(z1)
Percentile
x = μ + z·σ

Method

  1. Convert the value to a z-score: z = (x − μ)/σ.
  2. Look up Φ(z), the area to the left of z.
  3. For the area to the right use 1 − Φ(z); for an interval subtract the two left areas.
  4. For a percentile, work backwards: find z for the area, then x = μ + z·σ.

Confidence intervals

σ known
x̄ ± z·σ/√n
σ unknown
x̄ ± t·s/√n, df = n − 1
Critical z
90%: 1.645, 95%: 1.96, 99%: 2.576
Sample size
n = (z·σ/E)², rounded up

Method

  1. Decide between z (population σ known) and t (only the sample s, with n − 1 degrees of freedom).
  2. Find the critical value for the confidence level.
  3. Margin of error: E = critical value × standard deviation/√n.
  4. Interval: x̄ ± E.

Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

z-test for a mean
z = (x̄ − μ0)/(σ/√n)
t-test for a mean
t = (x̄ − μ0)/(s/√n), df = n − 1
Two-sided at 5%
reject H0 if |z| > 1.96
Confidence interval
x̄ ± z·σ/√n

Method

  1. State H₀ and H₁ and decide whether the test is one- or two-sided.
  2. Calculate the test statistic: (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n), or with s and t.
  3. Compare with the critical value, or find the p-value.
  4. Reject H₀ if the statistic is beyond the critical value (p below α), and state the conclusion in words.

Linear regression & correlation

Sums of squares
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = Σx² − (Σx)²/n, Sxy = Σxy − ΣxΣy/n
Slope
b = Sxy/Sxx
Intercept
a = ȳ − b·x̄
Correlation
r = Sxy/√(SxxSyy)
Residual
e = y − ŷ

2Practice problems

1.Time value of moneyMedium
years0123…9PV = ?€10 000+1.5%+1.5%…r = 5.5%

A property is expected to earn net rent of €10 000 next year. The rent is expected to grow by 1.5% per year forever. The required return is 5.5% per year. Find the value PV of the property today.

C1 = €10 000g = 1.5%r = 5.5%
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
months0123…72€250€250€250FV = ?

You save €250 at the end of every month for 6 years. The account pays 4.2% per year, compounded monthly. How much have you saved at the end? Find FV.

A = €2504.2% / 12N = 72
FV = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
years01234−30 00012 0007 00015 00013 000

An investment of €30 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 4: €12 000, €7 000, €15 000, €13 000. The cost of capital is 12%. Find the net present value NPV.

r = 12%CF0 = −30 000CF1 = 12 000CF2 = 7 000CF3 = 15 000CF4 = 13 000
NPV = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
years0123…9−10 0002 0002 0002 0002 000

An investment of €10 000 returns €2 000 at the end of each year for 9 years. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.

C0 = €10 000CF = €2 000n = 9
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
years01234567P€80€80€80 + €1 000

A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 8% and matures in 7 years. Its yield to maturity changes from 5% to 7%. By how much ΔP does the bond price change?

F = €1 000coupon = 8%n = 7y1 = 5%y2 = 7%
ΔP = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
years0123€940€80€80 + €1 000

A bond with a face value of €1 000 and an annual coupon of 8% matures in 3 years and sells for €940. Find its yield to maturity YTM in percent.

F = €1 000coupon = 8%n = 3P = €940
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
WACC = ?equity€12 000 000re​ = 14%debt€5 000 000rd​ = 5%T = 20%

A company has equity worth €12 000 000 and debt worth €5 000 000. Its cost of equity is 14%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 5% and the tax rate is 20%. Find the WACC.

E = €12 000 000D = €5 000 000re = 14%rd = 5%T = 20%
WACC = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
WACC = ?equity4 000 000 × €12.50β = 0.6rf​ = 4%, rm​ = 8.5%debt40 000 × €980rd​ = 3.5%T = 20%

A company has 4 000 000 shares at €12.50 each and 40 000 bonds trading at €980 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 3.5% and the tax rate is 20%. The share’s beta is 0.6, the risk-free rate 4% and the market return 8.5%. Find the WACC.

β = 0.6rf = 4%rm = 8.5%rd = 3.5%T = 20%
WACC = %
9.Descriptive statisticsMedium
202530354045505560

Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 17, 48, 38, 17, 47, 60.

n = 6
s =
10.Descriptive statisticsHard
z −2−1012

A quantity is normally distributed with mean 60 and standard deviation 12. What proportion P of values is above 72?

μ = 60σ = 12x = 72
P =
11.ProbabilityMedium
xp(x)10.220.2530.3540.1550.05μ = 2.6

For the distribution shown, find the variance Var(X) of X.

x: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5p(x): 0.2, 0.25, 0.35, 0.15, 0.05
Var(X) =
12.ProbabilityHard
n = 9, p = 0.1: P(X = 4) = ?k0123456789

A test has 9 multiple-choice questions. A student who guesses gets each one right with probability 0.1, independently. What is the probability P of exactly 4 correct answers?

n = 9p = 0.1k = 4
P =
13.Normal distributionMedium
245.25255.25P = ?

The bag weights are normally distributed with mean 250 g and standard deviation 5 g. What fraction lies between 245.25 and 255.25 g? Give P as a decimal.

μ = 250σ = 5x1 = 245.25x2 = 255.25
P =
14.Normal distributionHard
4 s0X − Y?

Runner A's lap time X and runner B's lap time Y are independent and normal: X has mean 52 s and standard deviation 4 s, Y has mean 48 s and standard deviation 3 s. Find the probability P that X is greater than Y. Round z to two decimals.

μX = 52 s, σX = 4 sμY = 48 s, σY = 3 s
P =
15.Confidence intervalsMedium
μ₁ − μ₂0LU = ?x̄₁ − x̄₂E90%

The battery life of two phone models is compared. Model 1: 60 phones, mean 44 h, known standard deviation 7 h. Model 2: 100 phones, mean 55.5 h, known standard deviation 20 h. Find the upper limit of the 90% confidence interval for μ₁ − μ₂.

n₁ = 60x̄₁ = 44 hσ₁ = 7 hn₂ = 100x̄₂ = 55.5 hσ₂ = 20 h90%
upper limit = h
16.Confidence intervalsHard
μ₁ − μ₂, t(15) = 1.7530LU = ?x̄₁ − x̄₂E90%

Two fertilisers are tested. Plot group 1: 8 plots, mean yield 68 kg, standard deviation 4 kg. Plot group 2: 9 plots, mean 76 kg, standard deviation 6.5 kg. Assume equal variances (pooled t, df = n₁ + n₂ − 2). Find the upper limit of the 90% confidence interval for μ₁ − μ₂.

n₁ = 8x̄₁ = 68s₁ = 4n₂ = 9x̄₂ = 76s₂ = 6.590%t(15) = 1.753
upper limit = kg
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
−2.3062.306t = ?df = 8

9 employees take a typing test before and after a training course. For each person the difference d = after − before (words per minute) is recorded. The mean difference is 1.52 and the standard deviation of the differences is 5.7. Find the paired test statistic t for H₀: μd = 0.

n = 9d̄ = 1.52sd = 5.7
t =
18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
z −1.9601.96

A sample of 81 measurements has mean 99.2. The population standard deviation is 5. Find the upper limit U of the 95% confidence interval for the mean.

x̄ = 99.2σ = 5n = 8195%
U =
19.Linear regression & correlationMedium
xy352459557668769872xy4686070

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = hours studied and y = exam score. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r.

n = 6
r =
20.Linear regression & correlationHard
xy150254355463566668xy246506070x = 2.5

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = hours studied and y = exam score. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. A new observation (2.5, 61) is made. Find its residual e = y − ŷ.

n = 6(2.5, 61)
e =

3Solutions

1.Time value of money

Answer: PV = 250000 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Growing perpetuity

PV = C1/(r − g) = 10 000/(0.055 − 0.015) = 10 000/0.04 = €250 000.00

Answer

PV = €250 000.00
2.Time value of money

Answer: FV = 20431 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Monthly rate and number of deposits

i = 0.042/12 = 0.0035
N = 12·6 = 72

Future value of the deposits

FV = A·((1 + i)N − 1)/i = 250·(1.286 − 1)/0.0035 = €20 430.72

Answer

FV = €20 430.72

You paid in €18 000 yourself; the rest is interest.

3.NPV & IRR

Answer: NPV = 5233 €

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Present value of each cash flow

CF0 = −30 000
CF1/(1 + 0.12)1 = 12 000/1.12 = 10 714.29
CF2/(1 + 0.12)2 = 7 000/1.254 = 5 580.36
CF3/(1 + 0.12)3 = 15 000/1.405 = 10 676.70
CF4/(1 + 0.12)4 = 13 000/1.574 = 8 261.74

Add them up

NPV = €5 233.08

Answer

NPV = €5 233.08

NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.

4.NPV & IRR

Answer: IRR = 13.7 %

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Required annuity factor

(1 − (1 + i)−9)/i = 10 000/2 000 = 5

Solve for the rate

The annuity factor falls as the rate rises; bracket the rate and narrow down.

i = 13%: 5.132
i = 14%: 4.946
IRR = 13.7%

Answer

IRR = 13.7%
5.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: ΔP = −119.7 €

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Price at the old yield

C = €80.00, i = 0.05, N = 7
€80.00·(1 − 0.7107)/0.05 + €1 000·0.7107 = €462.91 + €710.68 = €1 173.59

Price at the new yield

C = €80.00, i = 0.07, N = 7
€80.00·(1 − 0.6227)/0.07 + €1 000·0.6227 = €431.14 + €622.75 = €1 053.89

Change

ΔP = 1 053.89 − 1 173.59 = −€119.70

Answer

ΔP = −€119.70
6.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: YTM = 10.43 %

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Equation for the yield

€940 = €80·(1 − (1 + y)⁻³)/y + €1 000/(1 + y)³

Solve numerically

P(10%) = €950.26, P(11%) = €926.69
YTM = 10.43%

Answer

YTM = 10.43%
7.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 11.06 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Weights

V = €17 000 000, E/V = 0.7059, D/V = 0.2941

WACC

WACC = 0.7059·14% + 0.2941·5%·(1 − 0.2) = 11.06%

Answer

WACC = 11.06%
8.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 4.986 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Market values

E = 4 000 000·€12.50 = €50 000 000
D = 40 000·€980 = €39 200 000

Cost of equity (CAPM)

re = 4% + 0.6·4.5% = 6.7%

Weights

V = €89 200 000, E/V = 0.5605, D/V = 0.4395

WACC

WACC = 0.5605·6.7% + 0.4395·3.5%·(1 − 0.2) = 4.986%

Answer

WACC = 4.986%
9.Descriptive statistics

Answer: s = 17.59

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Mean

x̄ = 227/6 = 37.83

Squared deviations

Σ(x − x̄)² = (−20.83)² + 10.17² + 0.1667² + (−20.83)² + 9.167² + 22.17² = 1547

Standard deviation

s = √(1547/5) = 17.59

Answer

s = 17.59
10.Descriptive statistics

Answer: P = 0.1587

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Standardise

z = 1

Standard normal table

Φ(1) = 0.8413
P = 1 − 0.8413 = 0.1587

Answer

P = 0.1587
11.Probability

Answer: Var(X) = 1.24

Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.

Mean

μ = 1·0.2 + 2·0.25 + 3·0.35 + 4·0.15 + 5·0.05 = 2.6

Mean of the squares

E(X²) = 1·0.2 + 4·0.25 + 9·0.35 + 16·0.15 + 25·0.05 = 8

Variance

Var(X) = 8 − 2.6² = 1.24

Answer

Var(X) = 1.24
12.Probability

Answer: P = 0.00744

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

Binomial formula

P(X = 4) = 126·0.14·0.95 = 126·0.0001·0.5905 = 0.00744

Answer

P = 0.00744
13.Normal distribution

Answer: P = 0.6821

Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.

z-scores

z₁ = (245.25 − 250)/5 = −0.95
z₂ = (255.25 − 250)/5 = 1.05

Area between

P = Φ(1.05) − Φ(−0.95) = 0.8531 − 0.1711 = 0.6821

Answer

P = 0.6821
14.Normal distribution

Answer: P = 0.7881

Sums and differences of normal variables: if X and Y are independent and normal, X + Y and X − Y are normal too. Means add or subtract: E(X ± Y) = μX ± μY. Variances always add, also for a difference: Var(X ± Y) = σX² + σY², so σ = √(σX² + σY²). Standard deviations never add directly. The total of n independent items with the same distribution has mean n·μ and standard deviation σ·√n. Then standardise as usual: z = (x − mean)/σ and read Φ(z).

Distribution of the difference

μ = 52 − 48 = 4 s, σ = 5 s

Standardise

z = (0 − 4)/5 = −0.8

Probability

P = 1 − Φ(−0.8) = 0.7881

Answer

P = 0.7881
15.Confidence intervals

Answer: upper limit = −7.89 h

Interval for a difference: estimate ± critical value × standard error. For two independent means with known σ: SE = √(σ₁²/n₁ + σ₂²/n₂) and z. With equal unknown variances: pooled s_p and t with n₁ + n₂ − 2 degrees of freedom. For paired data, work with the differences: d̄ ± t·s_d/√n.

Point estimate

x̄₁ − x̄₂ = 44 − 55.5 = −11.5

Standard error

SE = √(7²/60 + 20²/100) = 2.195

Margin of error

E = 1.645·2.195 = 3.61

Interval

−11.5 ± 3.61 → [−15.11, −7.89]

Answer

upper limit = −7.89 h

The interval does not contain 0, so the means differ significantly.

16.Confidence intervals

Answer: upper limit = −3.334 kg

Interval for a difference: estimate ± critical value × standard error. For two independent means with known σ: SE = √(σ₁²/n₁ + σ₂²/n₂) and z. With equal unknown variances: pooled s_p and t with n₁ + n₂ − 2 degrees of freedom. For paired data, work with the differences: d̄ ± t·s_d/√n.

Pooled standard deviation

sp² = (7·4² + 8·6.5²)/15 = 30
sp = 5.477

Margin of error

E = 1.753·5.477·√(1/8 + 1/9) = 4.666

Interval

−8 ± 4.666 → [−12.67, −3.334]

Answer

upper limit = −3.334 kg
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: t = 0.8

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Standard error of the mean difference

SE = 5.7/√9 = 1.9

Test statistic

t = 1.52/1.9 = 0.8

Answer

t = 0.8

With df = 8, the two-sided 5% critical value is 2.306; |t| is smaller, so H₀ is not rejected.

18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: U = 100.3

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Margin of error

E = 1.96·5/√81 = 1.089

Interval limit

U = 99.2 + 1.089 = 100.3

Answer

U = 100.3
19.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: r = 0.9498

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 33/6 = 5.5
ȳ = 377/6 = 62.83

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 17.5
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 70.5
Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² = 314.8

Correlation coefficient

r = 70.5/√(17.5·314.8) = 0.9498

Answer

r = 0.9498
20.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: e = 5.495

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 21/6 = 3.5
ȳ = 356/6 = 59.33

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 17.5
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 67

Regression line

b = 67/17.5 = 3.829
a = 59.33 − 3.829·3.5 = 45.93
ŷ = 45.93 + 3.829·x

Predicted value

ŷ = 45.93 + 3.829·2.5 = 55.5

Residual

e = 61 − 55.5 = 5.495

Answer

e = 5.495

The point lies above the line.

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