An annuity pays €500 at the end of each year for 13 years. The interest rate is 4% per year. Find the present value PV of the annuity.
A = €500i = 4%n = 13
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €250 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 30 years. The interest rate is 4.2% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.
P = €250 0004.2% / 12N = 360
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
An investment of €45 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 3: €15 000, €19 000, €14 000. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €10 000 and returns €4 500, €7 000 at the end of years 1 to 2. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −10 000CF1 = 4 500CF2 = 7 000
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 matures in 9 years and pays annual coupons. It sells for €1 159 when the yield to maturity is 2.5%. Find the coupon rate c in percent.
F = €1 000n = 9P = €1 159YTM = 2.5%
c = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 and an annual coupon of 6% matures in 6 years and sells for €1 050. Find its yield to maturity YTM in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 6%n = 6P = €1 050
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company is financed with ordinary shares worth €12 000 000, preferred shares worth €2 000 000 and debt worth €3 000 000. The cost of equity is 13%, the cost of preferred stock 6% and the pre-tax cost of debt 3%. The tax rate is 25%. Find the WACC.
A company has 5 000 000 shares at €53.00 each and 20 000 bonds trading at €980 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 4% and the tax rate is 20%. The share’s beta is 1.2, the risk-free rate 2.5% and the market return 7%. Find the WACC.
β = 1.2rf = 2.5%rm = 7%rd = 4%T = 20%
WACC = %
9.Descriptive statisticsMedium
Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 11, 38, 41, 58, 17, 30.
n = 6
s =
10.Descriptive statisticsHard
Exam scores are normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 12. Find the z-score z of a score of 115.
μ = 100σ = 12x = 115
z =
11.ProbabilityMedium
For the distribution shown, find the variance Var(X) of X.
x: 0, 2, 4, 6p(x): 0.3, 0.35, 0.2, 0.15
Var(X) =
12.ProbabilityHard
X has the distribution shown, and Y = 0.5X + 4. Find the standard deviation σY of Y.
The IQ scores are normally distributed with mean 100 points and standard deviation 15 points. What fraction lies between 92.5 and 118 points? Give P as a decimal.
μ = 100σ = 15x1 = 92.5x2 = 118
P =
14.Normal distributionHard
The delivery times are normally distributed with mean 32 min and standard deviation 6 min. Find the value x below which 75% of them lie (the 75th percentile).
μ = 32σ = 6P = 75%
x = min
15.Confidence intervalsMedium
The blood pressure of 8 patients is measured before and after a treatment. The differences d = before − after (mmHg) have mean 4.3 and standard deviation 0.7. Find the upper limit of the 90% confidence interval for the mean difference.
n = 8d̄ = 4.3sd = 0.790%t(7) = 1.895
upper limit = mmHg
16.Confidence intervalsHard
Two fertilisers are tested. Plot group 1: 8 plots, mean yield 37 kg, standard deviation 1.5 kg. Plot group 2: 18 plots, mean 36.5 kg, standard deviation 2 kg. Assume equal variances (pooled t, df = n₁ + n₂ − 2). Find the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval for μ₁ − μ₂.
Two production lines make the same part. Line 1: a sample of 50 parts has mean length 72 mm, and the line's known standard deviation is 16 mm. Line 2: a sample of 30 parts has mean 77.4 mm, known standard deviation 8 mm. Find the test statistic z for H₀: μ₁ = μ₂, taking the difference as x̄₁ − x̄₂ (line 1 minus line 2).
A one-sided z test at α = 0.05 must detect a shift of the mean of 5 units with a power of 90%. The standard deviation is 23. Find the minimum sample size n.
The table gives 6 paired observations of x = temperature in °C and y = ice creams sold. Their sums are given. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r from these sums.
The table gives 6 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. A new observation (7, 21) is made. Find its residual e = y − ŷ.
n = 6(7, 21)
e =
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 4993 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Annuity factor
(1 − (1 + i)−n)/i = (1 − 0.6006)/0.04 = 9.986
Present value
PV = 500·9.986 = €4 992.82
Answer
PV = €4 992.82
2.Time value of money
Answer: A = 1223 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly rate and number of payments
i = 0.042/12 = 0.0035
N = 12·30 = 360
Payment
The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.
(1 + i)−N = 0.2843
A = 250 000·0.0035/(1 − 0.2843) = €1 222.54
Answer
A = €1 222.54
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −5143 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −45 000
CF1/(1 + 0.1)1 = 15 000/1.1 = 13 636.36
CF2/(1 + 0.1)2 = 19 000/1.21 = 15 702.48
CF3/(1 + 0.1)3 = 14 000/1.331 = 10 518.41
Add them up
NPV = €−5 142.75
Answer
NPV = €−5 142.75
NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 9.139 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(5%) = 634.92
NPV(10%) = −123.97
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.
IRR ≈ 5 + 5·634.92/(634.92 − (−123.97)) = 9.183%
exact: NPV(9.139%) = 0 → IRR = 9.139%
Answer
IRR = 9.139%
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: c = 4.495 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Present value of the face value
1000·(1 + 0.025)−9 = €800.73
Coupon
C = (1159 − 800.73)/7.971 = €44.95
Coupon rate
c = 44.95/1000 = 4.495%
Answer
c = 4.495%
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTM = 5.014 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
€1 050 = €60·(1 − (1 + y)⁻⁶)/y + €1 000/(1 + y)⁶
Solve numerically
P(5%) = €1 050.76, P(6%) = €1 000.00
YTM = 5.014%
Answer
YTM = 5.014%
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 10.28 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Standardise
z = (115 − 100)/12 = 1.25
Answer
z = 1.25
11.Probability
Answer: Var(X) = 4.24
Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.
Mean
μ = 0·0.3 + 2·0.35 + 4·0.2 + 6·0.15 = 2.4
Mean of the squares
E(X²) = 0·0.3 + 4·0.35 + 16·0.2 + 36·0.15 = 10
Variance
Var(X) = 10 − 2.4² = 4.24
Answer
Var(X) = 4.24
12.Probability
Answer: σY = 5.214
Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.
Spread of X
μ = 22.5, Var(X) = 108.8, σX = 10.43
Linear change
σY = |0.5|·10.43 = 5.214
Answer
σY = 5.214
The mean does move: E(Y) = 0.5·22.5 + 4 = 15.25.
13.Normal distribution
Answer: P = 0.5764
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
z-scores
z₁ = (92.5 − 100)/15 = −0.5
z₂ = (118 − 100)/15 = 1.2
Area between
P = Φ(1.2) − Φ(−0.5) = 0.8849 − 0.3085 = 0.5764
Answer
P = 0.5764
14.Normal distribution
Answer: x = 36.05 min
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
z for the percentile
Φ(z) = 0.75 → z = 0.6745
Back to x
x = 32 + 0.6745·6 = 36.05 min
Answer
x = 36.05 min
15.Confidence intervals
Answer: upper limit = 4.769 mmHg
Interval for a difference: estimate ± critical value × standard error. For two independent means with known σ: SE = √(σ₁²/n₁ + σ₂²/n₂) and z. With equal unknown variances: pooled s_p and t with n₁ + n₂ − 2 degrees of freedom. For paired data, work with the differences: d̄ ± t·s_d/√n.
Critical value
df = 7, t = 1.895
Margin of error
E = 1.895·0.7/√8 = 0.469
Interval
4.3 ± 0.469 → [3.831, 4.769]
Answer
upper limit = 4.769 mmHg
16.Confidence intervals
Answer: upper limit = 2.138 kg
Interval for a difference: estimate ± critical value × standard error. For two independent means with known σ: SE = √(σ₁²/n₁ + σ₂²/n₂) and z. With equal unknown variances: pooled s_p and t with n₁ + n₂ − 2 degrees of freedom. For paired data, work with the differences: d̄ ± t·s_d/√n.
Pooled standard deviation
sp² = (7·1.5² + 17·2²)/24 = 3.49
sp = 1.868
Margin of error
E = 2.064·1.868·√(1/8 + 1/18) = 1.638
Interval
0.5 ± 1.638 → [−1.138, 2.138]
Answer
upper limit = 2.138 kg
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: z = −2.005
Hypothesis test: the test statistic = (estimate − value under H₀)/(standard error under H₀). The p-value is the probability, assuming H₀ is true, of a statistic at least as extreme as the one observed: the area in one tail for a one-sided H₁, twice the tail area for a two-sided H₁. Reject H₀ when p ≤ α.
Standard error of the difference
SE = √(16²/50 + 8²/30) = √7.253 = 2.693
Test statistic
z = (72 − 77.4)/2.693 = −2.005
Answer
z = −2.005
|z| > 1.96, so H₀ is rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).
18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: n = 182
Sample size for a test: to detect a true shift δ with power 1 − β in a one-sided z test at level α, the standard error must satisfy δ = (z_α + z_β)·σ/√n, so n = ((z_α + z_β)·σ/δ)², rounded up.
Solve for n
n = ((1.645 + 1.282)·23/5)² = 181.3
Round up
n = 182
Answer
n = 182
19.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: r = 0.9967
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Centred sums
Sxy = 15299 − 132·673/6 = 493
Sxx = 2974 − 132²/6 = 70
Syy = 78983 − 673²/6 = 3495
Correlation coefficient
r = 493/√(70·3495) = 0.9967
Answer
r = 0.9967
20.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: e = 4.333
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Means
x̄ = 42/6 = 7
ȳ = 100/6 = 16.67
Sums of squares and products
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 150
Regression line
b = 150/70 = 2.143
a = 16.67 − 2.143·7 = 1.667
ŷ = 1.667 + 2.143·x
Predicted value
ŷ = 1.667 + 2.143·7 = 16.67
Residual
e = 21 − 16.67 = 4.333
Answer
e = 4.333
The point lies above the line.
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