A property is expected to earn net rent of €8 000 next year. The rent is expected to grow by 1.5% per year forever. The required return is 7.5% per year. Find the value PV of the property today.
C1 = €8 000g = 1.5%r = 7.5%
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €250 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 20 years. The interest rate is 4.8% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.
P = €250 0004.8% / 12N = 240
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
An investment of €60 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 4: €26 000, €12 000, €22 000, €22 000. The cost of capital is 12%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €10 000 and returns €7 000, €4 500, €7 000 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −10 000CF1 = 7 000CF2 = 4 500CF3 = 7 000
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 2% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 11 years. The yield to maturity is 6% per year. Find the price P of the bond.
F = €1 000coupon = 2%YTM = 6%n = 11
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with 12 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 5%) sells for €1 145. The issuer can call it in 4 years at a call price of €1 050. Find the yield to call YTC in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 5%P = €1 145call price = €1 050call in 4 years
YTC = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has equity worth €6 000 000 and debt worth €5 000 000. Its cost of equity is 14%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 7% and the tax rate is 30%. Find the WACC.
A company has 1 000 000 shares at €11.00 each and 5 000 bonds trading at €1 050 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 3% and the tax rate is 30%. The share’s beta is 1.1, the risk-free rate 4% and the market return 9%. Find the WACC.
β = 1.1rf = 4%rm = 9%rd = 3%T = 30%
WACC = %
9.Descriptive statisticsMedium
Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 58, 22, 13, 34, 19, 48, 41.
n = 7
s =
10.Descriptive statisticsHard
Exam scores are normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 15. Find the z-score z of a score of 77.5.
μ = 100σ = 15x = 77.5
z =
11.ProbabilityMedium
A bag holds 8 red and 6 blue balls. You draw two balls without putting the first one back. What is the probability P that both are red?
8 / 6
P =
12.ProbabilityHard
X has the distribution shown, and Y = 3X + 20. Find the standard deviation σY of Y.
Drag z so that the shaded area between −z and z under the standard normal curve is 0.7959. Find z to two decimals.
A = 0.7959
z =
14.Normal distributionHard
The IQ scores are normally distributed with mean 100 points and standard deviation 15 points. Find the value x below which 90% of them lie (the 90th percentile).
μ = 100σ = 15P = 90%
x = points
15.Confidence intervalsMedium
A sample of 8 items has mean 83 and standard deviation s = 9.5. The population is roughly normal. Find the upper limit of the 99% confidence interval for the mean.
n = 8x̄ = 83s = 9.599%t(7) = 3.499
upper limit =
16.Confidence intervalsHard
The population standard deviation is 31. How large a sample n do you need so that a 99% confidence interval for the mean has a margin of error of at most 4?
σ = 31E = 499%
n =
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
8 employees take a typing test before and after a training course. For each person the difference d = after − before (words per minute) is recorded. The mean difference is −9.63 and the standard deviation of the differences is 10.9. Find the paired test statistic t for H₀: μd = 0.
n = 8d̄ = −9.63sd = 10.9
t =
18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
How large must a sample be so that the 95% confidence interval for a mean has a margin of error of at most 3? The standard deviation is 4. Find the smallest sample size n.
σ = 4E = 395%
n =
19.Linear regression & correlationMedium
The table gives 6 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r.
n = 6
r =
20.Linear regression & correlationHard
The table gives 6 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. Predict ŷ for x = 3.
n = 6x = 3
ŷ =
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 133333 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly rate and number of payments
i = 0.048/12 = 0.004
N = 12·20 = 240
Payment
The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.
(1 + i)−N = 0.3836
A = 250 000·0.004/(1 − 0.3836) = €1 622.39
Answer
A = €1 622.39
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = 2421 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −60 000
CF1/(1 + 0.12)1 = 26 000/1.12 = 23 214.29
CF2/(1 + 0.12)2 = 12 000/1.254 = 9 566.33
CF3/(1 + 0.12)3 = 22 000/1.405 = 15 659.17
CF4/(1 + 0.12)4 = 22 000/1.574 = 13 981.40
Add them up
NPV = €2 421.18
Answer
NPV = €2 421.18
NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 38.77 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(35%) = 499.42
NPV(40%) = −153.06
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.
IRR ≈ 35 + 5·499.42/(499.42 − (−153.06)) = 38.83%
exact: NPV(38.77%) = 0 → IRR = 38.77%
Answer
IRR = 38.77%
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 681.3 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €10.00, i = 0.03, N = 22
Present value of the coupons
€10.00·(1 − 0.5219)/0.03 = €159.37
Present value of the face value
€1 000·0.5219 = €521.89
Price
P = €681.26
Answer
P = €681.26
The yield is above the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a discount.
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTC = 2.365 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
1145 = 50·(1 − (1 + y)−4)/y + 1050/(1 + y)4
Solve numerically
y = 2%: €1 160.42
y = 3%: €1 118.77
YTC = 2.365%
Answer
YTC = 2.365%
The yield to maturity is 3.5%. Investors in a premium bond expect it to be called, so the lower yield to call is the more realistic one.
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 9.864 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Weights
V = €11 000 000, E/V = 0.5455, D/V = 0.4545
WACC
WACC = 0.5455·14% + 0.4545·7%·(1 − 0.3) = 9.864%
Answer
WACC = 9.864%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 7.109 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Market values
E = 1 000 000·€11.00 = €11 000 000
D = 5 000·€1 050 = €5 250 000
Cost of equity (CAPM)
re = 4% + 1.1·5% = 9.5%
Weights
V = €16 250 000, E/V = 0.6769, D/V = 0.3231
WACC
WACC = 0.6769·9.5% + 0.3231·3%·(1 − 0.3) = 7.109%
Answer
WACC = 7.109%
9.Descriptive statistics
Answer: s = 16.48
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Standardise
z = (77.5 − 100)/15 = −1.5
Answer
z = −1.5
11.Probability
Answer: P = 0.3077
Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.
First and second draw
P = 8/14 · 7/13 = 56/182 = 0.3077
Answer
P = 0.3077
12.Probability
Answer: σY = 4.146
Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.
Spread of X
μ = 3.3, Var(X) = 1.91, σX = 1.382
Linear change
σY = |3|·1.382 = 4.146
Answer
σY = 4.146
The mean does move: E(Y) = 3·3.3 + 20 = 29.9.
13.Normal distribution
Answer: z = 1.27
From an area back to z: Φ(z) is the area to the left of z. For a left-tail area A, find z with Φ(z) = A in the table. A right-tail area A means Φ(z) = 1 − A. A central area A between −z and z leaves (1 − A)/2 in each tail, so Φ(z) = (1 + A)/2. For a value x, use x = μ + zσ.
Area to the left of z
Φ(z) = (1 + 0.7959)/2 = 0.8980
Read the z-table backwards
Find 0.8980 inside the table and read off z.
z = 1.27
Answer
z = 1.27
14.Normal distribution
Answer: x = 119.2 points
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
z for the percentile
Φ(z) = 0.9 → z = 1.282
Back to x
x = 100 + 1.282·15 = 119.22 points
Answer
x = 119.22 points
15.Confidence intervals
Answer: upper limit = 94.75
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Critical value
df = n − 1 = 7, t = 3.499
Margin of error
E = 3.499·9.5/√8 = 11.75
Interval
83 ± 11.75 → [71.25, 94.75]
Answer
upper limit = 94.75
16.Confidence intervals
Answer: n = 399
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Solve for n
n = (2.576·31/4)² = 398.6
Round up
A sample size is a whole number, and rounding down would make the margin too large.
n = 399
Answer
n = 399
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: t = −2.499
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Standard error of the mean difference
SE = 10.9/√8 = 3.854
Test statistic
t = −9.63/3.854 = −2.499
Answer
t = −2.499
With df = 7, the two-sided 5% critical value is 2.365; |t| is larger, so H₀ is rejected.
18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: n = 7
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Solve for n
n = (1.96·4/3)² = 6.83
Round up
n = 7
Answer
n = 7
19.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: r = 0.9844
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Means
x̄ = 42/6 = 7
ȳ = 111/6 = 18.5
Sums of squares and products
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 175
Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² = 451.5
Correlation coefficient
r = 175/√(70·451.5) = 0.9844
Answer
r = 0.9844
20.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: ŷ = 9.905
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Means
x̄ = 42/6 = 7
ȳ = 152/6 = 25.33
Sums of squares and products
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 270
Regression line
b = 270/70 = 3.857
a = 25.33 − 3.857·7 = −1.667
ŷ = −1.667 + 3.857·x
Prediction
ŷ = −1.667 + 3.857·3 = 9.905
Answer
ŷ = 9.905
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