CFA Level I quantitative methods and fixed income practice: cram pack

Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 20 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.

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1Formulas and methods

Time value of money

Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i

Method

  1. Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
  2. Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
  3. Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
  4. Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.

NPV & IRR

Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)

Method

  1. List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
  2. Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
  3. Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
  4. For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.

Bond pricing & yield

Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down

Method

  1. Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
  2. Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
  3. For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
  4. Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.

CAPM & WACC

CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D

Descriptive statistics

Mean
x̄ = Σx/n
Sample standard deviation
s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
Median
middle value of the sorted data
z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Normal distribution
68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ

Probability

Complement
P(not A) = 1 − P(A)
Addition rule
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Independent events
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)·P(B)
Conditional probability
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B)
Binomial
P(X = k) = C(n,k)·pk(1 − p)n−k

Normal distribution

z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Below x
P(X < x) = Φ(z)
Above x
P(X > x) = 1 − Φ(z)
Between
Φ(z2) − Φ(z1)
Percentile
x = μ + z·σ

Method

  1. Convert the value to a z-score: z = (x − μ)/σ.
  2. Look up Φ(z), the area to the left of z.
  3. For the area to the right use 1 − Φ(z); for an interval subtract the two left areas.
  4. For a percentile, work backwards: find z for the area, then x = μ + z·σ.

Confidence intervals

σ known
x̄ ± z·σ/√n
σ unknown
x̄ ± t·s/√n, df = n − 1
Critical z
90%: 1.645, 95%: 1.96, 99%: 2.576
Sample size
n = (z·σ/E)², rounded up

Method

  1. Decide between z (population σ known) and t (only the sample s, with n − 1 degrees of freedom).
  2. Find the critical value for the confidence level.
  3. Margin of error: E = critical value × standard deviation/√n.
  4. Interval: x̄ ± E.

Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

z-test for a mean
z = (x̄ − μ0)/(σ/√n)
t-test for a mean
t = (x̄ − μ0)/(s/√n), df = n − 1
Two-sided at 5%
reject H0 if |z| > 1.96
Confidence interval
x̄ ± z·σ/√n

Method

  1. State H₀ and H₁ and decide whether the test is one- or two-sided.
  2. Calculate the test statistic: (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n), or with s and t.
  3. Compare with the critical value, or find the p-value.
  4. Reject H₀ if the statistic is beyond the critical value (p below α), and state the conclusion in words.

Linear regression & correlation

Sums of squares
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = Σx² − (Σx)²/n, Sxy = Σxy − ΣxΣy/n
Slope
b = Sxy/Sxx
Intercept
a = ȳ − b·x̄
Correlation
r = Sxy/√(SxxSyy)
Residual
e = y − ŷ

2Practice problems

1.Time value of moneyMedium
years0123…9PV = ?€8 000+1.5%+1.5%…r = 7.5%

A property is expected to earn net rent of €8 000 next year. The rent is expected to grow by 1.5% per year forever. The required return is 7.5% per year. Find the value PV of the property today.

C1 = €8 000g = 1.5%r = 7.5%
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
months0123…240€250 000A?AAA

A loan of €250 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 20 years. The interest rate is 4.8% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.

P = €250 0004.8% / 12N = 240
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
years01234−60 00026 00012 00022 00022 000

An investment of €60 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 4: €26 000, €12 000, €22 000, €22 000. The cost of capital is 12%. Find the net present value NPV.

r = 12%CF0 = −60 000CF1 = 26 000CF2 = 12 000CF3 = 22 000CF4 = 22 000
NPV = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
years0123−10 0007 0004 5007 000

A project costs €10 000 and returns €7 000, €4 500, €7 000 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.

CF0 = −10 000CF1 = 7 000CF2 = 4 500CF3 = 7 000
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
half-years0123…22€10€10€10 + €1 000P = ?

A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 2% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 11 years. The yield to maturity is 6% per year. Find the price P of the bond.

F = €1 000coupon = 2%YTM = 6%n = 11
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
years01234€1 145€50€50€50 + €1 050

A bond with 12 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 5%) sells for €1 145. The issuer can call it in 4 years at a call price of €1 050. Find the yield to call YTC in percent.

F = €1 000coupon = 5%P = €1 145call price = €1 050call in 4 years
YTC = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
WACC = ?equity€6 000 000re​ = 14%debt€5 000 000rd​ = 7%T = 30%

A company has equity worth €6 000 000 and debt worth €5 000 000. Its cost of equity is 14%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 7% and the tax rate is 30%. Find the WACC.

E = €6 000 000D = €5 000 000re = 14%rd = 7%T = 30%
WACC = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
WACC = ?equity1 000 000 × €11.00β = 1.1rf​ = 4%, rm​ = 9%debt5 000 × €1 050rd​ = 3%T = 30%

A company has 1 000 000 shares at €11.00 each and 5 000 bonds trading at €1 050 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 3% and the tax rate is 30%. The share’s beta is 1.1, the risk-free rate 4% and the market return 9%. Find the WACC.

β = 1.1rf = 4%rm = 9%rd = 3%T = 30%
WACC = %
9.Descriptive statisticsMedium
152025303540455055

Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 58, 22, 13, 34, 19, 48, 41.

n = 7
s =
10.Descriptive statisticsHard
z −2−1012

Exam scores are normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 15. Find the z-score z of a score of 77.5.

μ = 100σ = 15x = 77.5
z =
11.ProbabilityMedium
red: 8blue: 6

A bag holds 8 red and 6 blue balls. You draw two balls without putting the first one back. What is the probability P that both are red?

8 / 6
P =
12.ProbabilityHard
xp(x)10.1520.1530.240.2550.25μ

X has the distribution shown, and Y = 3X + 20. Find the standard deviation σY of Y.

x: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5p(x): 0.15, 0.15, 0.2, 0.25, 0.25Y = 3X + 20
σY =
13.Normal distributionMedium
−3−2−10123zshaded area between −z and z = 0.7959

Drag z so that the shaded area between −z and z under the standard normal curve is 0.7959. Find z to two decimals.

A = 0.7959
z =
14.Normal distributionHard
μ = 100x = ?90%

The IQ scores are normally distributed with mean 100 points and standard deviation 15 points. Find the value x below which 90% of them lie (the 90th percentile).

μ = 100σ = 15P = 90%
x = points
15.Confidence intervalsMedium
n = 8, s = 9.5LU = ?x̄ = 83E99%

A sample of 8 items has mean 83 and standard deviation s = 9.5. The population is roughly normal. Find the upper limit of the 99% confidence interval for the mean.

n = 8x̄ = 83s = 9.599%t(7) = 3.499
upper limit =
16.Confidence intervalsHard
σ = 31, n = ?x̄ − Ex̄ + Ex̄E = 499%

The population standard deviation is 31. How large a sample n do you need so that a 99% confidence interval for the mean has a margin of error of at most 4?

σ = 31E = 499%
n =
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
−2.3652.365t = ?df = 7

8 employees take a typing test before and after a training course. For each person the difference d = after − before (words per minute) is recorded. The mean difference is −9.63 and the standard deviation of the differences is 10.9. Find the paired test statistic t for H₀: μd = 0.

n = 8d̄ = −9.63sd = 10.9
t =
18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
σ = 4, n = ?x̄ − Ex̄ + Ex̄E = 395%

How large must a sample be so that the 95% confidence interval for a mean has a margin of error of at most 3? The standard deviation is 4. Find the smallest sample size n.

σ = 4E = 395%
n =
19.Linear regression & correlationMedium
xy274961881910271231xy510102030

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r.

n = 6
r =
20.Linear regression & correlationHard
xy2641362482710371245xy5102040x = 3

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. Predict ŷ for x = 3.

n = 6x = 3
ŷ =

3Solutions

1.Time value of money

Answer: PV = 133333 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Growing perpetuity

PV = C1/(r − g) = 8 000/(0.075 − 0.015) = 8 000/0.06 = €133 333.33

Answer

PV = €133 333.33
2.Time value of money

Answer: A = 1622 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Monthly rate and number of payments

i = 0.048/12 = 0.004
N = 12·20 = 240

Payment

The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.

(1 + i)−N = 0.3836
A = 250 000·0.004/(1 − 0.3836) = €1 622.39

Answer

A = €1 622.39
3.NPV & IRR

Answer: NPV = 2421 €

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Present value of each cash flow

CF0 = −60 000
CF1/(1 + 0.12)1 = 26 000/1.12 = 23 214.29
CF2/(1 + 0.12)2 = 12 000/1.254 = 9 566.33
CF3/(1 + 0.12)3 = 22 000/1.405 = 15 659.17
CF4/(1 + 0.12)4 = 22 000/1.574 = 13 981.40

Add them up

NPV = €2 421.18

Answer

NPV = €2 421.18

NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.

4.NPV & IRR

Answer: IRR = 38.77 %

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Bracket the IRR

NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.

NPV(35%) = 499.42
NPV(40%) = −153.06

Narrow down

Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.

IRR ≈ 35 + 5·499.42/(499.42 − (−153.06)) = 38.83%
exact: NPV(38.77%) = 0 → IRR = 38.77%

Answer

IRR = 38.77%
5.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: P = 681.3 €

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Per period

C = €10.00, i = 0.03, N = 22

Present value of the coupons

€10.00·(1 − 0.5219)/0.03 = €159.37

Present value of the face value

€1 000·0.5219 = €521.89

Price

P = €681.26

Answer

P = €681.26

The yield is above the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a discount.

6.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: YTC = 2.365 %

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Equation for the yield

1145 = 50·(1 − (1 + y)−4)/y + 1050/(1 + y)4

Solve numerically

y = 2%: €1 160.42
y = 3%: €1 118.77
YTC = 2.365%

Answer

YTC = 2.365%

The yield to maturity is 3.5%. Investors in a premium bond expect it to be called, so the lower yield to call is the more realistic one.

7.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 9.864 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Weights

V = €11 000 000, E/V = 0.5455, D/V = 0.4545

WACC

WACC = 0.5455·14% + 0.4545·7%·(1 − 0.3) = 9.864%

Answer

WACC = 9.864%
8.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 7.109 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Market values

E = 1 000 000·€11.00 = €11 000 000
D = 5 000·€1 050 = €5 250 000

Cost of equity (CAPM)

re = 4% + 1.1·5% = 9.5%

Weights

V = €16 250 000, E/V = 0.6769, D/V = 0.3231

WACC

WACC = 0.6769·9.5% + 0.3231·3%·(1 − 0.3) = 7.109%

Answer

WACC = 7.109%
9.Descriptive statistics

Answer: s = 16.48

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Mean

x̄ = 235/7 = 33.57

Squared deviations

Σ(x − x̄)² = 24.43² + (−11.57)² + (−20.57)² + 0.4286² + (−14.57)² + 14.43² + 7.429² = 1630

Standard deviation

s = √(1630/6) = 16.48

Answer

s = 16.48
10.Descriptive statistics

Answer: z = −1.5

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Standardise

z = (77.5 − 100)/15 = −1.5

Answer

z = −1.5
11.Probability

Answer: P = 0.3077

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

First and second draw

P = 8/14 · 7/13 = 56/182 = 0.3077

Answer

P = 0.3077
12.Probability

Answer: σY = 4.146

Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.

Spread of X

μ = 3.3, Var(X) = 1.91, σX = 1.382

Linear change

σY = |3|·1.382 = 4.146

Answer

σY = 4.146

The mean does move: E(Y) = 3·3.3 + 20 = 29.9.

13.Normal distribution

Answer: z = 1.27

From an area back to z: Φ(z) is the area to the left of z. For a left-tail area A, find z with Φ(z) = A in the table. A right-tail area A means Φ(z) = 1 − A. A central area A between −z and z leaves (1 − A)/2 in each tail, so Φ(z) = (1 + A)/2. For a value x, use x = μ + zσ.

Area to the left of z

Φ(z) = (1 + 0.7959)/2 = 0.8980

Read the z-table backwards

Find 0.8980 inside the table and read off z.

z = 1.27

Answer

z = 1.27
14.Normal distribution

Answer: x = 119.2 points

Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.

z for the percentile

Φ(z) = 0.9 → z = 1.282

Back to x

x = 100 + 1.282·15 = 119.22 points

Answer

x = 119.22 points
15.Confidence intervals

Answer: upper limit = 94.75

Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.

Critical value

df = n − 1 = 7, t = 3.499

Margin of error

E = 3.499·9.5/√8 = 11.75

Interval

83 ± 11.75 → [71.25, 94.75]

Answer

upper limit = 94.75
16.Confidence intervals

Answer: n = 399

Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.

Solve for n

n = (2.576·31/4)² = 398.6

Round up

A sample size is a whole number, and rounding down would make the margin too large.

n = 399

Answer

n = 399
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: t = −2.499

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Standard error of the mean difference

SE = 10.9/√8 = 3.854

Test statistic

t = −9.63/3.854 = −2.499

Answer

t = −2.499

With df = 7, the two-sided 5% critical value is 2.365; |t| is larger, so H₀ is rejected.

18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: n = 7

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Solve for n

n = (1.96·4/3)² = 6.83

Round up

n = 7

Answer

n = 7
19.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: r = 0.9844

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 42/6 = 7
ȳ = 111/6 = 18.5

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 175
Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² = 451.5

Correlation coefficient

r = 175/√(70·451.5) = 0.9844

Answer

r = 0.9844
20.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: ŷ = 9.905

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 42/6 = 7
ȳ = 152/6 = 25.33

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 270

Regression line

b = 270/70 = 3.857
a = 25.33 − 3.857·7 = −1.667
ŷ = −1.667 + 3.857·x

Prediction

ŷ = −1.667 + 3.857·3 = 9.905

Answer

ŷ = 9.905

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