CFA Level I quantitative methods and fixed income practice: cram pack

Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 20 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.

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1Formulas and methods

Time value of money

Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i

Method

  1. Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
  2. Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
  3. Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
  4. Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.

NPV & IRR

Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)

Method

  1. List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
  2. Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
  3. Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
  4. For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.

Bond pricing & yield

Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down

Method

  1. Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
  2. Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
  3. For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
  4. Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.

CAPM & WACC

CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D

Descriptive statistics

Mean
x̄ = Σx/n
Sample standard deviation
s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
Median
middle value of the sorted data
z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Normal distribution
68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ

Probability

Complement
P(not A) = 1 − P(A)
Addition rule
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Independent events
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)·P(B)
Conditional probability
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B)
Binomial
P(X = k) = C(n,k)·pk(1 − p)n−k

Normal distribution

z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Below x
P(X < x) = Φ(z)
Above x
P(X > x) = 1 − Φ(z)
Between
Φ(z2) − Φ(z1)
Percentile
x = μ + z·σ

Method

  1. Convert the value to a z-score: z = (x − μ)/σ.
  2. Look up Φ(z), the area to the left of z.
  3. For the area to the right use 1 − Φ(z); for an interval subtract the two left areas.
  4. For a percentile, work backwards: find z for the area, then x = μ + z·σ.

Confidence intervals

σ known
x̄ ± z·σ/√n
σ unknown
x̄ ± t·s/√n, df = n − 1
Critical z
90%: 1.645, 95%: 1.96, 99%: 2.576
Sample size
n = (z·σ/E)², rounded up

Method

  1. Decide between z (population σ known) and t (only the sample s, with n − 1 degrees of freedom).
  2. Find the critical value for the confidence level.
  3. Margin of error: E = critical value × standard deviation/√n.
  4. Interval: x̄ ± E.

Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

z-test for a mean
z = (x̄ − μ0)/(σ/√n)
t-test for a mean
t = (x̄ − μ0)/(s/√n), df = n − 1
Two-sided at 5%
reject H0 if |z| > 1.96
Confidence interval
x̄ ± z·σ/√n

Method

  1. State H₀ and H₁ and decide whether the test is one- or two-sided.
  2. Calculate the test statistic: (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n), or with s and t.
  3. Compare with the critical value, or find the p-value.
  4. Reject H₀ if the statistic is beyond the critical value (p below α), and state the conclusion in words.

Linear regression & correlation

Sums of squares
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = Σx² − (Σx)²/n, Sxy = Σxy − ΣxΣy/n
Slope
b = Sxy/Sxx
Intercept
a = ȳ − b·x̄
Correlation
r = Sxy/√(SxxSyy)
Residual
e = y − ŷ

2Practice problems

1.Time value of moneyMedium
years0123…20PV = ?€8 000€8 000€8 000€8 000

An annuity pays €8 000 at the end of each year for 20 years. The interest rate is 4% per year. Find the present value PV of the annuity.

A = €8 000i = 4%n = 20
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
months0123…360€500€500€500FV = ?

You save €500 at the end of every month for 30 years. The account pays 3.6% per year, compounded monthly. How much have you saved at the end? Find FV.

A = €5003.6% / 12N = 360
FV = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
years0123−45 00021 00014 00018 000

An investment of €45 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 3: €21 000, €14 000, €18 000. The cost of capital is 5%. Find the net present value NPV.

r = 5%CF0 = −45 000CF1 = 21 000CF2 = 14 000CF3 = 18 000
NPV = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
years0123…10−80 0007 000+3%+3%+3%r = 10%, NPV = ?

A project costs €80 000 today. Its cash flow is €7 000 at the end of year 1 and grows by 3% per year until the last cash flow at the end of year 10. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.

C0 = €80 000CF1 = €7 000g = 3%n = 10r = 10%
NPV = €
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
years0123…8€1 269C = ?C = ?C = ? + €1 000

A bond with a face value of €1 000 matures in 8 years and pays annual coupons. It sells for €1 269 when the yield to maturity is 4%. Find the coupon rate c in percent.

F = €1 000n = 8P = €1 269YTM = 4%
c = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
half-years0123…18€1 078€20€20€20 + €1 000

A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 4% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 9 years. It sells for €1 078. Find its yield to maturity YTM as an annual rate (twice the half-yearly yield), in percent.

F = €1 000coupon = 4% (2×)n = 9P = €1 078
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
WACC = ?equity€8 000 000re​ = 11%debt€6 000 000rd​ = 7%T = 25%

A company has equity worth €8 000 000 and debt worth €6 000 000. Its cost of equity is 11%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 7% and the tax rate is 25%. Find the WACC.

E = €8 000 000D = €6 000 000re = 11%rd = 7%T = 25%
WACC = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
WACC = ?equity2 500 000 × €23.00β = 1.3rf​ = 1.5%, rm​ = 7%debt5 000 × €1 000rd​ = 4%T = 20%

A company has 2 500 000 shares at €23.00 each and 5 000 bonds trading at €1 000 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 4% and the tax rate is 20%. The share’s beta is 1.3, the risk-free rate 1.5% and the market return 7%. Find the WACC.

β = 1.3rf = 1.5%rm = 7%rd = 4%T = 20%
WACC = %
9.Descriptive statisticsMedium
30354045505560

Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 47, 49, 28, 60, 47, 43.

n = 6
s =
10.Descriptive statisticsHard
z −2−1012

A quantity is normally distributed with mean 500 and standard deviation 40. What proportion P of values is above 440?

μ = 500σ = 40x = 440
P =
11.ProbabilityMedium
red: 8blue: 4

A bag holds 8 red and 4 blue balls. You draw two balls without putting the first one back. What is the probability P that both are red?

8 / 4
P =
12.ProbabilityHard
€p(x)−10.8420.15490.01

A game costs €1 to play. You win €3 with probability 0.15 and €50 with probability 0.01; otherwise you win nothing. The stake is not returned. Find the expected net gain E(G) per game.

stake = €1€3: p = 0.15€50: p = 0.01
E(G) = €
13.Normal distributionMedium
482562P = ?

The battery lifetimes are normally distributed with mean 500 h and standard deviation 40 h. What fraction lies between 482 and 562 h? Give P as a decimal.

μ = 500σ = 40x1 = 482x2 = 562
P =
14.Normal distributionHard
μ = 32x = ?90%

The delivery times are normally distributed with mean 32 min and standard deviation 6 min. Find the value x below which 90% of them lie (the 90th percentile).

μ = 32σ = 6P = 90%
x = min
15.Confidence intervalsMedium
n = 12, s = 10L = ?Ux̄ = 34.5E90%

A sample of 12 items has mean 34.5 and standard deviation s = 10. The population is roughly normal. Find the lower limit of the 90% confidence interval for the mean.

n = 12x̄ = 34.5s = 1090%t(11) = 1.796
lower limit =
16.Confidence intervalsHard
σ = 7, n = ?x̄ − Ex̄ + Ex̄E = 199%

The population standard deviation is 7. How large a sample n do you need so that a 99% confidence interval for the mean has a margin of error of at most 1?

σ = 7E = 199%
n =
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
t −1.99801.998

A sample of 64 students has a mean score of 122.9 and a sample standard deviation of 8. Find the test statistic t for H₀: μ = 120.

μ₀ = 120x̄ = 122.9s = 8n = 64
t =
18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
μ₀x̄c

A one-sided z test of H₀: μ = 80 against H₁: μ > 80 is done at α = 0.05 with a sample of 64; the standard deviation is known to be 8. In reality the mean is 81.5. Find the probability of a Type II error β in percent.

μ₀ = 80μ = 81.5σ = 8n = 64α = 0.05
β = %
19.Linear regression & correlationMedium
xy254156188241030xy510102030

The table gives 5 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Find the coefficient of determination r² of the least-squares line.

n = 5
r² =
20.Linear regression & correlationHard
xy24486148181025xy5101020x = 5

The table gives 5 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. A new observation (5, 8) is made. Find its residual e = y − ŷ.

n = 5(5, 8)
e =

3Solutions

1.Time value of money

Answer: PV = 108723 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Annuity factor

(1 − (1 + i)−n)/i = (1 − 0.4564)/0.04 = 13.59

Present value

PV = 8 000·13.59 = €108 722.61

Answer

PV = €108 722.61
2.Time value of money

Answer: FV = 323320 €

Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.

Monthly rate and number of deposits

i = 0.036000000000000004/12 = 0.003
N = 12·30 = 360

Future value of the deposits

FV = A·((1 + i)N − 1)/i = 500·(2.94 − 1)/0.003 = €323 320.42

Answer

FV = €323 320.42

You paid in €180 000 yourself; the rest is interest.

3.NPV & IRR

Answer: NPV = 3247 €

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Present value of each cash flow

CF0 = −45 000
CF1/(1 + 0.05)1 = 21 000/1.05 = 20 000.00
CF2/(1 + 0.05)2 = 14 000/1.103 = 12 698.41
CF3/(1 + 0.05)3 = 18 000/1.158 = 15 549.08

Add them up

NPV = €3 247.49

Answer

NPV = €3 247.49

NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.

4.NPV & IRR

Answer: NPV = −31814 €

Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.

Present value of the growing annuity

((1.03)/(1.1))10 = 0.5181
PV = 7 000/(0.1 − 0.03)·(1 − 0.5181) = 48 186.21

NPV

NPV = 48 186.21 − 80 000 = −€31 813.79

Answer

NPV = −€31 813.79

NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.

5.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: c = 7.995 %

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Present value of the face value

1000·(1 + 0.04)−8 = €730.69

Coupon

C = (1269 − 730.69)/6.733 = €79.95

Coupon rate

c = 79.95/1000 = 7.995%

Answer

c = 7.995%
6.Bond pricing & yield

Answer: YTM = 3.004 %

Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.

Per period

C = €20.00, N = 18

Solve numerically

i = 1.502% per half-year

YTM

YTM = 2·1.502% = 3.004%

Answer

YTM = 3.004%
7.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 8.536 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Weights

V = €14 000 000, E/V = 0.5714, D/V = 0.4286

WACC

WACC = 0.5714·11% + 0.4286·7%·(1 − 0.25) = 8.536%

Answer

WACC = 8.536%
8.CAPM & WACC

Answer: WACC = 8.214 %

Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).

Market values

E = 2 500 000·€23.00 = €57 500 000
D = 5 000·€1 000 = €5 000 000

Cost of equity (CAPM)

re = 1.5% + 1.3·5.5% = 8.65%

Weights

V = €62 500 000, E/V = 0.92, D/V = 0.08

WACC

WACC = 0.92·8.65% + 0.08·4%·(1 − 0.2) = 8.214%

Answer

WACC = 8.214%
9.Descriptive statistics

Answer: s = 10.39

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Mean

x̄ = 274/6 = 45.67

Squared deviations

Σ(x − x̄)² = 1.333² + 3.333² + (−17.67)² + 14.33² + 1.333² + (−2.667)² = 539.3

Standard deviation

s = √(539.3/5) = 10.39

Answer

s = 10.39
10.Descriptive statistics

Answer: P = 0.9332

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Standardise

z = −1.5

Standard normal table

Φ(−1.5) = 0.06681
P = 1 − 0.06681 = 0.9332

Answer

P = 0.9332
11.Probability

Answer: P = 0.4242

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

First and second draw

P = 8/12 · 7/11 = 56/132 = 0.4242

Answer

P = 0.4242
12.Probability

Answer: E(G) = −0.05 €

Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.

Net outcomes

G: 2 (p = 0.15), 49 (p = 0.01), −1 (p = 0.84)

Expected value

E(G) = 2·0.15 + 49·0.01 − 1·0.84 = −0.05 €

Answer

E(G) = −0.05 €

A negative value means you lose money on average.

13.Normal distribution

Answer: P = 0.6131

Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.

z-scores

z₁ = (482 − 500)/40 = −0.45
z₂ = (562 − 500)/40 = 1.55

Area between

P = Φ(1.55) − Φ(−0.45) = 0.9394 − 0.3264 = 0.6131

Answer

P = 0.6131
14.Normal distribution

Answer: x = 39.69 min

Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.

z for the percentile

Φ(z) = 0.9 → z = 1.282

Back to x

x = 32 + 1.282·6 = 39.69 min

Answer

x = 39.69 min
15.Confidence intervals

Answer: lower limit = 29.32

Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.

Critical value

df = n − 1 = 11, t = 1.796

Margin of error

E = 1.796·10/√12 = 5.185

Interval

34.5 ± 5.185 → [29.32, 39.68]

Answer

lower limit = 29.32
16.Confidence intervals

Answer: n = 326

Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.

Solve for n

n = (2.576·7/1)² = 325.2

Round up

A sample size is a whole number, and rounding down would make the margin too large.

n = 326

Answer

n = 326
17.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: t = 2.9

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Standard error

SE = 8/√64 = 8/8 = 1

Test statistic

t = (122.9 − 120)/1 = 2.9

Answer

t = 2.9
t0.025; df = 63 = 1.998

|t| > 1.998, so H₀ is rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).

18.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: β = 55.76 %

Power of a test: power = 1 − β is the probability of rejecting H₀ when it is false. Find the cutoff x̄c from μ₀ and z_α, then compute the probability of landing beyond x̄c using the true mean: z = (x̄c − μ)/(σ/√n).

Critical sample mean

SE = 8/√64 = 1
x̄c = 80 + 1.645·1 = 81.64

z under the true mean

z = (81.64 − 81.5)/1 = 0.145

Type II error

power = P(Z > 0.145) = 44.24%
β = 100% − 44.24% = 55.76%

Answer

β = 55.76%
19.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: r² = 0.9745

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 30/5 = 6
ȳ = 92/5 = 18.4

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 40
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 118
Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² = 357.2

Coefficient of determination

r² = 118²/(40·357.2) = 0.9745

Answer

r² = 0.9745

About 97.45% of the variation in y is explained by the line.

20.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: e = −3.2

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 30/5 = 6
ȳ = 69/5 = 13.8

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 40
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 104

Regression line

b = 104/40 = 2.6
a = 13.8 − 2.6·6 = −1.8
ŷ = −1.8 + 2.6·x

Predicted value

ŷ = −1.8 + 2.6·5 = 11.2

Residual

e = 8 − 11.2 = −3.2

Answer

e = −3.2

The point lies below the line.

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