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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You invest €2 000 at a nominal rate of 3.6% per year, compounded monthly. Find the value FV of the investment after 3 years.
PV = €2 0003.6% / 12n = 3
FV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
You borrow €8 000 at 3% per year, compounded monthly, and repay €150 at the end of every month. How many months does it take until the loan is repaid (the last payment may be smaller)? Give the number of payments N.
P = €8 000A = €1503% / 12
N = payments
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A machine costs €30 000 today, lasts 9 years and costs €4 000 per year to run (paid at the end of each year). The cost of capital is 12%. Find its equivalent annual cost EAC.
C0 = €30 000M = €4 000n = 9r = 12%
EAC = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
A project costs €100 000 today. Its cash flow is €13 000 at the end of year 1 and grows by 4% per year until the last cash flow at the end of year 7. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.
C0 = €100 000CF1 = €13 000g = 4%n = 7r = 10%
NPV = €
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 4.5% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 3 years. The yield to maturity is 2.5% per year. Find the price P of the bond.
F = €1 000coupon = 4.5%YTM = 2.5%n = 3
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 3% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 4 years. It sells for €963. Find its yield to maturity YTM as an annual rate (twice the half-yearly yield), in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 3% (2×)n = 4P = €963
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has equity worth €8 000 000 and debt worth €1 000 000. Its cost of equity is 8%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 4% and the tax rate is 21%. Find the WACC.
E = €8 000 000D = €1 000 000re = 8%rd = 4%T = 21%
WACC = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
A company has 4 000 000 shares trading at €54.50; the book value of its equity is €65 400 000. It just paid a dividend of €2.90 per share, and dividends grow by 2% per year. Its debt has a market value of €109 000 000 and a pre-tax cost of 3%. The tax rate is 21%. Find the WACC, using the dividend growth model for the cost of equity.
A company sells 5 000 units at €28 each. The variable cost is €8 per unit and fixed costs are €40 000. Find the degree of operating leverage DOL at this sales level.
Q = 5 000p = €28v = €8F = €40 000
DOL =
10.Break-even analysisHard
A product sells for €9 per unit, with a variable cost of €4 per unit and fixed costs of €5 000 per year. Budgeted sales are 1 600 units. Find the margin of safety MS as a percentage of budgeted sales.
F = €5 000p = €9v = €4budget = 1 600
MS = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 2228 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rearrange the annuity formula
i = 0.0025
(1 + i)−N = 1 − 8 000·0.0025/150 = 0.8667
Solve with logarithms
N = −ln(0.8667)/ln(1.002) = 57.31
Round up to whole payments
57 full payments leave a small balance, which the last, smaller payment clears.
N = 58
Answer
N = 58 payments
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: EAC = 9630 €
Equivalent annual cost: spread the present value of all costs over the life as an equal yearly amount (an annuity): EAC = PV·r/(1 − (1 + r)⁻ⁿ). It lets you compare machines with different lives.
Annuity factor
(1 − 1.12−9)/0.12 = 5.328
Annualised purchase price
30 000/5.328 = 5 630.37
EAC
EAC = 5 630.37 + 4 000 = €9 630.37
Answer
EAC = €9 630.37
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −29644 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of the growing annuity
((1.04)/(1.1))7 = 0.6753
PV = 13 000/(0.1 − 0.04)·(1 − 0.6753) = 70 355.77
NPV
NPV = 70 355.77 − 100 000 = −€29 644.23
Answer
NPV = −€29 644.23
NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 1057 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €22.50, i = 0.0125, N = 6
Present value of the coupons
€22.50·(1 − 0.9282)/0.0125 = €129.29
Present value of the face value
€1 000·0.9282 = €928.17
Price
P = €1 057.46
Answer
P = €1 057.46
The yield is below the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a premium.
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTM = 4.01 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €15.00, N = 8
Solve numerically
i = 2.005% per half-year
YTM
YTM = 2·2.005% = 4.01%
Answer
YTM = 4.01%
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 7.462 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Weights
V = €9 000 000, E/V = 0.8889, D/V = 0.1111
WACC
WACC = 0.8889·8% + 0.1111·4%·(1 − 0.21) = 7.462%
Answer
WACC = 7.462%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 5.742 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Operating leverage: fixed costs make profit react more strongly than sales. The degree of operating leverage DOL = contribution margin/operating profit tells you that a 1% change in sales changes profit by DOL %. It is very high just above break-even and falls as sales grow.
Total contribution margin
CM = 5 000·(28 − 8) = €100 000
Operating profit
Π = 100 000 − 40 000 = €60 000
DOL
DOL = 100 000/60 000 = 1.667
Answer
DOL = 1.667
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: MS = 37.5 %
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).