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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
A property is expected to earn net rent of €12 000 next year. The rent is expected to grow by 1% per year forever. The required return is 6% per year. Find the value PV of the property today.
C1 = €12 000g = 1%r = 6%
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €15 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 6 years. The interest rate is 3.6% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.
P = €15 0003.6% / 12N = 72
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A machine costs €50 000 today. It generates €8 500 at the end of each year for 6 years and can then be sold for €10 000. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.
C0 = €50 000CF = €8 500S = €10 000n = 6r = 10%
NPV = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
Project A costs €20 000 and returns €11 500, €8 000, €4 500 at the end of years 1 to 3. Project B costs €25 000 and returns €6 500, €10 500, €14 000. Find the crossover rate r* at which both projects have the same NPV, in percent.
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 5% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 6 years. The yield to maturity is 3% per year. Find the price P of the bond.
F = €1 000coupon = 5%YTM = 3%n = 6
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an 8% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 7 years. It sells for €1 113. Find its yield to maturity YTM as an annual rate (twice the half-yearly yield), in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 8% (2×)n = 7P = €1 113
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company is financed with ordinary shares worth €8 000 000, preferred shares worth €2 000 000 and debt worth €4 000 000. The cost of equity is 14%, the cost of preferred stock 6.5% and the pre-tax cost of debt 4.5%. The tax rate is 21%. Find the WACC.
A company has 5 000 000 shares at €28.00 each and 20 000 bonds trading at €1 000 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 3.5% and the tax rate is 30%. The share’s beta is 1.3, the risk-free rate 2.5% and the market return 7.5%. Find the WACC.
β = 1.3rf = 2.5%rm = 7.5%rd = 3.5%T = 30%
WACC = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A company sells 3 000 units at €12 each. The variable cost is €8 per unit and fixed costs are €10 000. Find the degree of operating leverage DOL at this sales level.
Q = 3 000p = €12v = €8F = €10 000
DOL =
10.Break-even analysisHard
A company sells 750 units at €30 each, with a variable cost of €15 per unit and fixed costs of €7 500. By what percentage %ΔΠ does operating profit change if sales volume rises by 20%?
Q = 750p = €30v = €15F = €7 500%ΔQ = +20%
%ΔΠ = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 240000 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly rate and number of payments
i = 0.036000000000000004/12 = 0.003
N = 12·6 = 72
Payment
The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.
(1 + i)−N = 0.806
A = 15 000·0.003/(1 − 0.806) = €231.95
Answer
A = €231.95
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −7336 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of the yearly cash flows
8 500·4.355 = 37 019.72
Present value of the salvage value
10 000/1.772 = 5 644.74
NPV
NPV = −50 000 + 37 019.72 + 5 644.74 = −€7 335.54
Answer
NPV = −€7 335.54
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: r* = 8.269 %
Crossover rate: the discount rate at which two projects have the same NPV. It is the IRR of the difference in their cash flows (B − A). Below it the project with the later, larger cash flows has the higher NPV; above it the other one wins.
Difference in cash flows
ΔCF0 = −25 000 − (−20 000) = −5 000
ΔCF1 = 6 500 − 11 500 = −5 000
ΔCF2 = 10 500 − 8 000 = 2 500
ΔCF3 = 14 000 − 4 500 = 9 500
IRR of the difference
NPVΔ(8%) = 55.12
NPVΔ(9%) = −147.21
r* = 8.269%
Answer
r* = 8.269%
Check: at 8.269% both NPVs are €992.18.
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 1109 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €25.00, i = 0.015, N = 12
Present value of the coupons
€25.00·(1 − 0.8364)/0.015 = €272.69
Present value of the face value
€1 000·0.8364 = €836.39
Price
P = €1 109.08
Answer
P = €1 109.08
The yield is below the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a premium.
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTM = 5.999 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €40.00, N = 14
Solve numerically
i = 3% per half-year
YTM
YTM = 2·3% = 5.999%
Answer
YTM = 5.999%
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 9.944 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Market values
E = 5 000 000·€28.00 = €140 000 000
D = 20 000·€1 000 = €20 000 000
Cost of equity (CAPM)
re = 2.5% + 1.3·5% = 9%
Weights
V = €160 000 000, E/V = 0.875, D/V = 0.125
WACC
WACC = 0.875·9% + 0.125·3.5%·(1 − 0.3) = 8.181%
Answer
WACC = 8.181%
9.Break-even analysis
Answer: DOL = 6
Operating leverage: fixed costs make profit react more strongly than sales. The degree of operating leverage DOL = contribution margin/operating profit tells you that a 1% change in sales changes profit by DOL %. It is very high just above break-even and falls as sales grow.
Total contribution margin
CM = 3 000·(12 − 8) = €12 000
Operating profit
Π = 12 000 − 10 000 = €2 000
DOL
DOL = 12 000/2 000 = 6
Answer
DOL = 6
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: %ΔΠ = 60 %
Operating leverage: fixed costs make profit react more strongly than sales. The degree of operating leverage DOL = contribution margin/operating profit tells you that a 1% change in sales changes profit by DOL %. It is very high just above break-even and falls as sales grow.