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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
An annuity pays €2 000 at the end of each year for 11 years. The interest rate is 8% per year. Find the present value PV of the annuity.
A = €2 000i = 8%n = 11
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
You save €50 at the end of every month for 16 years. The account pays 4.8% per year, compounded monthly. How much have you saved at the end? Find FV.
A = €504.8% / 12N = 192
FV = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
An investment of €45 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 4: €12 000, €20 000, €21 000, €13 000. The cost of capital is 6%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €40 000 and returns €26 000, €27 000, €18 500 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −40 000CF1 = 26 000CF2 = 27 000CF3 = 18 500
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
You buy a bond with 9 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 7%) when its yield to maturity is 4%. One year later, just after receiving the first coupon, you sell it when the yield to maturity is 3%. Find your holding period return HPR in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 7%n = 9y0 = 4%y1 = 3%
HPR = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 4% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 10 years. It sells for €851. Find its yield to maturity YTM as an annual rate (twice the half-yearly yield), in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 4% (2×)n = 10P = €851
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company is financed with ordinary shares worth €6 000 000, preferred shares worth €1 500 000 and debt worth €2 000 000. The cost of equity is 12%, the cost of preferred stock 6% and the pre-tax cost of debt 5%. The tax rate is 28%. Find the WACC.
A company has equity with a market value of €12 000 000 and a cost of equity of 9%. Its debt consists of 5 000 bonds (face value €1 000, annual coupon 7%, 4 years to maturity) that trade at €1 035 each. The tax rate is 28%. Find the WACC, using the yield to maturity of the bonds as the pre-tax cost of debt.
A company sells 3 000 units at €31 each. The variable cost is €25 per unit and fixed costs are €6 000. Find the degree of operating leverage DOL at this sales level.
Q = 3 000p = €31v = €25F = €6 000
DOL =
10.Break-even analysisHard
A company sells 1 600 units at €42 each, with a variable cost of €30 per unit and fixed costs of €12 000. By what percentage %ΔΠ does operating profit change if sales volume rises by 20%?
Q = 1 600p = €42v = €30F = €12 000%ΔQ = +20%
%ΔΠ = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 14278 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Annuity factor
(1 − (1 + i)−n)/i = (1 − 0.4289)/0.08 = 7.139
Present value
PV = 2 000·7.139 = €14 277.93
Answer
PV = €14 277.93
2.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 14402 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
You paid in €9 600 yourself; the rest is interest.
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = 12050 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −45 000
CF1/(1 + 0.06)1 = 12 000/1.06 = 11 320.75
CF2/(1 + 0.06)2 = 20 000/1.124 = 17 799.93
CF3/(1 + 0.06)3 = 21 000/1.191 = 17 632.00
CF4/(1 + 0.06)4 = 13 000/1.262 = 10 297.22
Add them up
NPV = €12 049.91
Answer
NPV = €12 049.91
NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 38.12 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(35%) = 1 593.25
NPV(40%) = −911.08
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €20.00, N = 20
Solve numerically
i = 3.002% per half-year
YTM
YTM = 2·3.002% = 6.003%
Answer
YTM = 6.003%
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 9.284 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Operating leverage: fixed costs make profit react more strongly than sales. The degree of operating leverage DOL = contribution margin/operating profit tells you that a 1% change in sales changes profit by DOL %. It is very high just above break-even and falls as sales grow.
Total contribution margin
CM = 3 000·(31 − 25) = €18 000
Operating profit
Π = 18 000 − 6 000 = €12 000
DOL
DOL = 18 000/12 000 = 1.5
Answer
DOL = 1.5
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: %ΔΠ = 53.33 %
Operating leverage: fixed costs make profit react more strongly than sales. The degree of operating leverage DOL = contribution margin/operating profit tells you that a 1% change in sales changes profit by DOL %. It is very high just above break-even and falls as sales grow.