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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
A property is expected to earn net rent of €12 000 next year. The rent is expected to grow by 2% per year forever. The required return is 4% per year. Find the value PV of the property today.
C1 = €12 000g = 2%r = 4%
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €150 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 15 years at 5.4% per year, compounded monthly. How much interest I is paid in total over the life of the loan?
P = €150 0005.4% / 12N = 180
I = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A project costs €40 000 today and returns €12 000 at the end of each year for 6 years. The cost of capital is 6%. Assume cash flows arrive evenly through each year. Find the discounted payback period DPB in years.
A project costs €150 000 today. Its cash flow is €15 000 at the end of year 1 and grows by 3% per year until the last cash flow at the end of year 10. The cost of capital is 12%. Find the net present value NPV.
C0 = €150 000CF1 = €15 000g = 3%n = 10r = 12%
NPV = €
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 3% and matures in 4 years. Its yield to maturity changes from 5.5% to 5%. By how much ΔP does the bond price change?
F = €1 000coupon = 3%n = 4y1 = 5.5%y2 = 5%
ΔP = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with 11 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 5%) sells for €1 185. The issuer can call it in 6 years at a call price of €1 050. Find the yield to call YTC in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 5%P = €1 185call price = €1 050call in 6 years
YTC = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A share with a beta of 0.9 has a required return of 8.85%. The risk-free rate is 3%. What expected market return rm does CAPM imply?
β = 0.9re = 8.85%rf = 3%
rm = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
A company has 2 000 000 shares at €53.00 each and 5 000 bonds trading at €1 020 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 6% and the tax rate is 25%. The share’s beta is 1.2, the risk-free rate 3.5% and the market return 7.5%. Find the WACC.
β = 1.2rf = 3.5%rm = 7.5%rd = 6%T = 25%
WACC = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A product sells for €32 per unit with a variable cost of €20 per unit. Fixed costs are €48 000 per month. How many units Q must be sold per month to make a profit of €6 000?
F = €48 000p = €32v = €20profit = €6 000
Q = units
10.Break-even analysisHard
A company sells two products. Product A sells for €18 with a variable cost of €12; product B sells for €23 with a variable cost of €15. They sell in a fixed mix of 3 units of A for every 2 of B. Fixed costs are €17 000 per month. Find the total number of units Q (A and B together) needed to break even.
pA = €18, vA = €12pB = €23, vB = €15A : B = 3 : 2F = €17 000
Q = units
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 600000 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Payback period: the time until the cumulative cash flows repay the initial investment. Cash is assumed to come in evenly during each year, so the last part is a fraction of a year. The simple payback ignores the time value of money; the discounted payback period uses the discounted cash flows instead.
Discounted and cumulative cash flows
year 1: 12 000/1.06 = 11 320.75 → Σ = 11 320.75
year 2: 12 000/1.124 = 10 679.96 → Σ = 22 000.71
year 3: 12 000/1.191 = 10 075.43 → Σ = 32 076.14
year 4: 12 000/1.262 = 9 505.12 → Σ = 41 581.27
Fraction of the last year
DPB = 3 + 7 923.86/9 505.12 = 3.834
Answer
DPB = 3.834 years
The discounted payback is always longer than the simple payback (3.333 years).
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −55451 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: ΔP = 16.71 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
1185 = 50·(1 − (1 + y)−6)/y + 1050/(1 + y)6
Solve numerically
y = 2%: €1 212.44
y = 3%: €1 150.22
YTC = 2.433%
Answer
YTC = 2.433%
The yield to maturity is 3.001%. Investors in a premium bond expect it to be called, so the lower yield to call is the more realistic one.
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: rm = 9.5 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Market risk premium
rm − rf = (8.85% − 3%)/0.9 = 6.5%
Market return
rm = 3% + 6.5% = 9.5%
Answer
rm = 9.5%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 8.126 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Break-even with a sales mix: when products sell in a fixed ratio, use the weighted average contribution margin: weight each product's p − v by its share of units. Break-even units = F/(weighted contribution margin), split again in the mix ratio.