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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You need €20 000 in 2 years. An account pays 3.6% per year, compounded quarterly. How much must you deposit today? Find the present value PV.
FV = €20 0003.6% / 4n = 2
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
You deposit €5 000 at the start of every year for 19 years, the first deposit today. The account pays 5% per year. How much is in the account at the end of year 19? Find FV.
A = €5 000i = 5%n = 19
FV = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
An investment of €20 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 3: €7 000, €10 000, €9 000. The cost of capital is 7.000000000000001%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €50 000 today. Its cash flow is €5 500 at the end of year 1 and grows by 5% per year until the last cash flow at the end of year 9. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.
C0 = €50 000CF1 = €5 500g = 5%n = 9r = 10%
NPV = €
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 matures in 13 years and pays annual coupons. It sells for €763 when the yield to maturity is 8%. Find the coupon rate c in percent.
F = €1 000n = 13P = €763YTM = 8%
c = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 5% and matures in 4 years. The yield to maturity is 2.5%. Find the Macaulay duration D in years.
F = €1 000coupon = 5%n = 4YTM = 2.5%
D = years
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has equity worth €4 000 000 and debt worth €5 000 000. Its cost of equity is 12%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 7% and the tax rate is 28%. Find the WACC.
A company has 5 000 000 shares at €29.00 each and 5 000 bonds trading at €1 020 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 3.5% and the tax rate is 21%. The share’s beta is 0.8, the risk-free rate 1% and the market return 5%. Find the WACC.
β = 0.8rf = 1%rm = 5%rd = 3.5%T = 21%
WACC = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A product sells for €35 with a variable cost of €30 per unit. Fixed costs are €5 000 per month and profit is taxed at 20%. How many units Q must be sold per month to earn €2 500 after tax?
A company sells 1 600 units per month at €16 each, with a variable cost of €8 per unit and fixed costs of €6 400 per month. The variable cost rises by €3 per unit and the price stays the same. How many units Q must now be sold per month to keep the same profit?
Q = 1 600p = €16v = €8 → €11F = €6 400
Q = units
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 18617 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rate and number of periods
i = 0.036000000000000004/4 = 0.009
N = 4·2 = 8
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)N = 20 000/1.074 = €18 616.61
Answer
PV = €18 616.61
2.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 160330 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Ordinary annuity factor
((1 + 0.05)19 − 1)/0.05 = 30.54
Annuity due
Each deposit is invested one year longer.
FV = 5 000·30.54·1.05 = €160 329.77
Answer
FV = €160 329.77
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = 2623 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −20 000
CF1/(1 + 0.07)1 = 7 000/1.07 = 6 542.06
CF2/(1 + 0.07)2 = 10 000/1.145 = 8 734.39
CF3/(1 + 0.07)3 = 9 000/1.225 = 7 346.68
Add them up
NPV = €2 623.12
Answer
NPV = €2 623.12
NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −12371 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of the growing annuity
((1.05)/(1.1))9 = 0.6579
PV = 5 500/(0.1 − 0.05)·(1 − 0.6579) = 37 629.39
NPV
NPV = 37 629.39 − 50 000 = −€12 370.61
Answer
NPV = −€12 370.61
NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: c = 5.001 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Present value of the face value
1000·(1 + 0.08)−13 = €367.70
Coupon
C = (763 − 367.70)/7.904 = €50.01
Coupon rate
c = 50.01/1000 = 5.001%
Answer
c = 5.001%
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: D = 3.737 years
Duration: the Macaulay duration is the weighted average time at which a bond pays its cash flows, with the present values of the cash flows as weights: D = Σ t·PVₜ/P. The modified duration D/(1 + y) estimates the percentage price change for a small change in yield: %ΔP ≈ −Dmod·Δy.
Present value of each cash flow
t = 1: 50/1.025 = 48.78, t·PV = 48.78
t = 2: 50/1.051 = 47.59, t·PV = 95.18
t = 3: 50/1.077 = 46.43, t·PV = 139.29
t = 4: 1050/1.104 = 951.25, t·PV = 3 804.99
Duration
P = 1 094.05
D = 4 088.24/1 094.05 = 3.737
Answer
D = 3.737 years
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 8.133 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Weights
V = €9 000 000, E/V = 0.4444, D/V = 0.5556
WACC
WACC = 0.4444·12% + 0.5556·7%·(1 − 0.28) = 8.133%
Answer
WACC = 8.133%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 4.151 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Pre-tax profit needed
2 500/(1 − 0.2) = €3 125
Units needed
Q = (5 000 + 3 125)/5 = 1 625
Answer
Q = 1 625 units
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: Q = 2560 units
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).