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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You need €15 000 in 9 years. An account pays 4% per year, compounded quarterly. How much must you deposit today? Find the present value PV.
FV = €15 0004% / 4n = 9
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €8 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 3 years. The interest rate is 3.6% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.
P = €8 0003.6% / 12N = 36
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A machine costs €60 000 today. It generates €13 000 at the end of each year for 5 years and can then be sold for €9 000. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.
C0 = €60 000CF = €13 000S = €9 000n = 5r = 10%
NPV = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
A project costs €40 000 and returns €28 500, €15 000, €23 000 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −40 000CF1 = 28 500CF2 = 15 000CF3 = 23 000
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 matures in 5 years and pays annual coupons. It sells for €922 when the yield to maturity is 9%. Find the coupon rate c in percent.
F = €1 000n = 5P = €922YTM = 9%
c = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 6% and matures in 6 years. The yield to maturity is 7%. Find the Macaulay duration D in years.
F = €1 000coupon = 6%n = 6YTM = 7%
D = years
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A share with a beta of 0.8 has a required return of 6.7%. The risk-free rate is 3.5%. What expected market return rm does CAPM imply?
β = 0.8re = 6.7%rf = 3.5%
rm = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
A company has 1 000 000 shares trading at €50.00; the book value of its equity is €15 000 000. It just paid a dividend of €2.50 per share, and dividends grow by 4% per year. Its debt has a market value of €50 000 000 and a pre-tax cost of 3%. The tax rate is 30%. Find the WACC, using the dividend growth model for the cost of equity.
A product sells for €14 with a variable cost of €12 per unit. Fixed costs are €10 000 per month and profit is taxed at 20%. How many units Q must be sold per month to earn €4 000 after tax?
A company sells two products. Product A sells for €16 with a variable cost of €12; product B sells for €28 with a variable cost of €20. They sell in a fixed mix of 2 units of A for every 3 of B. Fixed costs are €19 200 per month. Find the total number of units Q (A and B together) needed to break even.
pA = €16, vA = €12pB = €28, vB = €20A : B = 2 : 3F = €19 200
Q = units
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 10484 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rate and number of periods
i = 0.04/4 = 0.01
N = 4·9 = 36
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)N = 15 000/1.431 = €10 483.87
Answer
PV = €10 483.87
2.Time value of money
Answer: A = 234.8 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly rate and number of payments
i = 0.036000000000000004/12 = 0.003
N = 12·3 = 36
Payment
The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.
(1 + i)−N = 0.8978
A = 8 000·0.003/(1 − 0.8978) = €234.77
Answer
A = €234.77
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −5131 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of the yearly cash flows
13 000·3.791 = 49 280.23
Present value of the salvage value
9 000/1.611 = 5 588.29
NPV
NPV = −60 000 + 49 280.23 + 5 588.29 = −€5 131.48
Answer
NPV = −€5 131.48
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 32.39 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(30%) = 1 267.64
NPV(35%) = −1 310.27
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Present value of the face value
1000·(1 + 0.09)−5 = €649.93
Coupon
C = (922 − 649.93)/3.89 = €69.95
Coupon rate
c = 69.95/1000 = 6.995%
Answer
c = 6.995%
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: D = 5.19 years
Duration: the Macaulay duration is the weighted average time at which a bond pays its cash flows, with the present values of the cash flows as weights: D = Σ t·PVₜ/P. The modified duration D/(1 + y) estimates the percentage price change for a small change in yield: %ΔP ≈ −Dmod·Δy.
Present value of each cash flow
t = 1: 60/1.07 = 56.07, t·PV = 56.07
t = 2: 60/1.145 = 52.41, t·PV = 104.81
t = 3: 60/1.225 = 48.98, t·PV = 146.93
t = 4: 60/1.311 = 45.77, t·PV = 183.09
t = 5: 60/1.403 = 42.78, t·PV = 213.90
t = 6: 1060/1.501 = 706.32, t·PV = 4 237.94
Duration
P = 952.33
D = 4 942.75/952.33 = 5.19
Answer
D = 5.19 years
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: rm = 7.5 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Market risk premium
rm − rf = (6.7% − 3.5%)/0.8 = 4%
Market return
rm = 3.5% + 4% = 7.5%
Answer
rm = 7.5%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 5.65 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost of equity
D1 = 2.5·1.04 = €2.60
re = 2.6/50 + 0.04 = 9.2%
Market values
E = 1 000 000·€50.00 = €50 000 000
V = €100 000 000, E/V = 0.5, D/V = 0.5
WACC
WACC = 0.5·9.2% + 0.5·3%·(1 − 0.3) = 5.65%
Answer
WACC = 5.65%
9.Break-even analysis
Answer: Q = 7500 units
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Pre-tax profit needed
4 000/(1 − 0.2) = €5 000
Units needed
Q = (10 000 + 5 000)/2 = 7 500
Answer
Q = 7 500 units
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: Q = 3000 units
Break-even with a sales mix: when products sell in a fixed ratio, use the weighted average contribution margin: weight each product's p − v by its share of units. Break-even units = F/(weighted contribution margin), split again in the mix ratio.