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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
A credit card charges a nominal interest rate of 21% per year, compounded daily. Find the effective annual rate EAR in percent.
r = 21%m = 365
EAR = %
2.Time value of moneyHard
You deposit €2 000 at the start of every year for 29 years, the first deposit today. The account pays 8% per year. How much is in the account at the end of year 29? Find FV.
A = €2 000i = 8%n = 29
FV = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
An investment of €45 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 3: €14 000, €10 000, €10 000. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €100 000 today. Its cash flow is €9 000 at the end of year 1 and grows by 3% per year until the last cash flow at the end of year 10. The cost of capital is 12%. Find the net present value NPV.
C0 = €100 000CF1 = €9 000g = 3%n = 10r = 12%
NPV = €
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
You buy a bond with 7 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 6%) when its yield to maturity is 5%. One year later, just after receiving the first coupon, you sell it when the yield to maturity is 6.5%. Find your holding period return HPR in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 6%n = 7y0 = 5%y1 = 6.5%
HPR = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 and an annual coupon of 3% matures in 4 years and sells for €1 060. Find its yield to maturity YTM in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 3%n = 4P = €1 060
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company is financed with ordinary shares worth €12 000 000, preferred shares worth €2 000 000 and debt worth €6 000 000. The cost of equity is 11%, the cost of preferred stock 6.5% and the pre-tax cost of debt 6%. The tax rate is 25%. Find the WACC.
A company has equity with a market value of €5 000 000 and a cost of equity of 11%. Its debt consists of 8 000 bonds (face value €1 000, annual coupon 7%, 10 years to maturity) that trade at €1 036 each. The tax rate is 21%. Find the WACC, using the yield to maturity of the bonds as the pre-tax cost of debt.
A company sells 6 000 units at €8 each. The variable cost is €6 per unit and fixed costs are €4 000. Find the degree of operating leverage DOL at this sales level.
Q = 6 000p = €8v = €6F = €4 000
DOL =
10.Break-even analysisHard
A company sells two products. Product A sells for €17 with a variable cost of €12; product B sells for €30 with a variable cost of €10. They sell in a fixed mix of 3 units of A for every 2 of B. Fixed costs are €11 000 per month. Find the total number of units Q (A and B together) needed to break even.
pA = €17, vA = €12pB = €30, vB = €10A : B = 3 : 2F = €11 000
Q = units
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: EAR = 23.36 %
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rate per period
r/m = 0.21/365 = 0.0005753
Compound over one year
EAR = (1 + 0.0005753)365 − 1 = 1.234 − 1 = 23.36%
Answer
EAR = 23.36%
The EAR is always above the nominal rate when interest compounds more than once a year.
2.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 224566 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Ordinary annuity factor
((1 + 0.08)29 − 1)/0.08 = 104
Annuity due
Each deposit is invested one year longer.
FV = 2 000·104·1.08 = €224 566.42
Answer
FV = €224 566.42
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −16495 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −45 000
CF1/(1 + 0.1)1 = 14 000/1.1 = 12 727.27
CF2/(1 + 0.1)2 = 10 000/1.21 = 8 264.46
CF3/(1 + 0.1)3 = 10 000/1.331 = 7 513.15
Add them up
NPV = €−16 495.12
Answer
NPV = €−16 495.12
NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −43271 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of the growing annuity
((1.03)/(1.12))10 = 0.4327
PV = 9 000/(0.12 − 0.03)·(1 − 0.4327) = 56 729.49
NPV
NPV = 56 729.49 − 100 000 = −€43 270.51
Answer
NPV = −€43 270.51
NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: HPR = −2.086 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
€1 060 = €30·(1 − (1 + y)⁻⁴)/y + €1 000/(1 + y)⁴
Solve numerically
P(1%) = €1 078.04, P(2%) = €1 038.08
YTM = 1.445%
Answer
YTM = 1.445%
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 8.6 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Operating leverage: fixed costs make profit react more strongly than sales. The degree of operating leverage DOL = contribution margin/operating profit tells you that a 1% change in sales changes profit by DOL %. It is very high just above break-even and falls as sales grow.
Total contribution margin
CM = 6 000·(8 − 6) = €12 000
Operating profit
Π = 12 000 − 4 000 = €8 000
DOL
DOL = 12 000/8 000 = 1.5
Answer
DOL = 1.5
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: Q = 1000 units
Break-even with a sales mix: when products sell in a fixed ratio, use the weighted average contribution margin: weight each product's p − v by its share of units. Break-even units = F/(weighted contribution margin), split again in the mix ratio.