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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You invest €12 000 at a nominal rate of 6% per year, compounded quarterly. Find the value FV of the investment after 2 years.
PV = €12 0006% / 4n = 2
FV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A mortgage of €200 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 30 years at 4.2% per year, compounded monthly. How much is still owed just after the payment at the end of year 18? Find the outstanding balance B.
P = €200 0004.2% / 12N = 360k = 216
B = €
3.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 8% and matures in 8 years. Its yield to maturity changes from 3% to 2%. By how much ΔP does the bond price change?
F = €1 000coupon = 8%n = 8y1 = 3%y2 = 2%
ΔP = €
4.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with 14 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 9%) sells for €1 127. The issuer can call it in 5 years at a call price of €1 090. Find the yield to call YTC in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 9%P = €1 127call price = €1 090call in 5 years
YTC = %
5.CAPM & WACCMedium
A share with a beta of 1.4 has a required return of 11.6%. The risk-free rate is 2.5%. What expected market return rm does CAPM imply?
β = 1.4re = 11.6%rf = 2.5%
rm = %
6.CAPM & WACCHard
A company's shares have a beta of 1 at its current debt-to-equity ratio of 0.2. It plans to raise its debt-to-equity ratio to 1.25. The tax rate is 25%, the risk-free rate 1.5% and the market risk premium 4.5%. Find the cost of equity re after the change.
An investment of €75 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 3: €24 000, €34 000, €34 000. The cost of capital is 9%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €40 000 and returns €16 500, €20 000, €19 500 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −40 000CF1 = 16 500CF2 = 20 000CF3 = 19 500
IRR = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 13518 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly payment
i = 0.0035, N = 360
A = 200 000·0.0035/(1 − (1 + 0.0035)−360) = €978.03
Present value of the remaining payments
Whatever is still owed must be exactly paid off by the remaining payments.
N − k = 360 − 216 = 144
B = 978·(1 − (1 + 0.0035)−144)/0.0035 = €110 478.42
Answer
B = €110 478.42
3.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: ΔP = 88.54 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
1127 = 90·(1 − (1 + y)−5)/y + 1090/(1 + y)5
Solve numerically
y = 7%: €1 146.17
y = 8%: €1 101.18
YTC = 7.42%
Answer
YTC = 7.42%
The yield to maturity is 7.504%. Investors in a premium bond expect it to be called, so the lower yield to call is the more realistic one.
5.CAPM & WACC
Answer: rm = 9 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Market risk premium
rm − rf = (11.6% − 2.5%)/1.4 = 6.5%
Market return
rm = 2.5% + 6.5% = 9%
Answer
rm = 9%
6.CAPM & WACC
Answer: re = 9.082 %
Levered beta (Hamada): debt makes equity riskier. βL = βU·(1 + (1 − T)·D/E), where βU is the beta of the business without debt. To move a beta to another capital structure, unlever it first and then relever it at the new D/E.
Unlever the beta
βU = 1/(1 + 0.75·0.2) = 0.8696
Relever at the new D/E
βL = 0.8696·(1 + 0.75·1.25) = 1.685
Cost of equity (CAPM)
re = 1.5% + 1.685·4.5% = 9.082%
Answer
re = 9.082%
7.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = 1890 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −75 000
CF1/(1 + 0.09)1 = 24 000/1.09 = 22 018.35
CF2/(1 + 0.09)2 = 34 000/1.188 = 28 617.12
CF3/(1 + 0.09)3 = 34 000/1.295 = 26 254.24
Add them up
NPV = €1 889.71
Answer
NPV = €1 889.71
NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.
8.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 18.33 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(15%) = 2 292.27
NPV(20%) = −1 076.39
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.