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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You need €25 000 in 6 years. An account pays 5% per year, compounded quarterly. How much must you deposit today? Find the present value PV.
FV = €25 0005% / 4n = 6
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €20 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 4 years. The interest rate is 4.2% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.
P = €20 0004.2% / 12N = 48
A = €
3.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 4.5% and matures in 4 years. Its yield to maturity changes from 4% to 3%. By how much ΔP does the bond price change?
F = €1 000coupon = 4.5%n = 4y1 = 4%y2 = 3%
ΔP = €
4.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 8% and matures in 6 years. The yield to maturity is 5.5%. Find the Macaulay duration D in years.
F = €1 000coupon = 8%n = 6YTM = 5.5%
D = years
5.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has equity worth €10 000 000 and debt worth €2 000 000. Its cost of equity is 9%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 4.5% and the tax rate is 21%. Find the WACC.
A company's shares have a beta of 1.4 at its current debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4. It plans to raise its debt-to-equity ratio to 1.25. The tax rate is 30%, the risk-free rate 1% and the market risk premium 7%. Find the cost of equity re after the change.
An investment of €45 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 4: €15 000, €17 000, €15 000, €18 000. The cost of capital is 12%. Find the net present value NPV.
Project A costs €10 000 and returns €6 000, €3 500, €2 500 at the end of years 1 to 3. Project B costs €12 000 and returns €3 000, €5 500, €6 500. Find the crossover rate r* at which both projects have the same NPV, in percent.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rate and number of periods
i = 0.05/4 = 0.0125
N = 4·6 = 24
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)N = 25 000/1.347 = €18 554.93
Answer
PV = €18 554.93
2.Time value of money
Answer: A = 453.4 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly rate and number of payments
i = 0.042/12 = 0.0035
N = 12·4 = 48
Payment
The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.
(1 + i)−N = 0.8456
A = 20 000·0.0035/(1 − 0.8456) = €453.37
Answer
A = €453.37
3.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: ΔP = 37.61 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Duration: the Macaulay duration is the weighted average time at which a bond pays its cash flows, with the present values of the cash flows as weights: D = Σ t·PVₜ/P. The modified duration D/(1 + y) estimates the percentage price change for a small change in yield: %ΔP ≈ −Dmod·Δy.
Present value of each cash flow
t = 1: 80/1.055 = 75.83, t·PV = 75.83
t = 2: 80/1.113 = 71.88, t·PV = 143.75
t = 3: 80/1.174 = 68.13, t·PV = 204.39
t = 4: 80/1.239 = 64.58, t·PV = 258.31
t = 5: 80/1.307 = 61.21, t·PV = 306.05
t = 6: 1080/1.379 = 783.27, t·PV = 4 699.59
Duration
P = 1 124.89
D = 5 687.93/1 124.89 = 5.056
Answer
D = 5.056 years
5.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 8.092 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Levered beta (Hamada): debt makes equity riskier. βL = βU·(1 + (1 − T)·D/E), where βU is the beta of the business without debt. To move a beta to another capital structure, unlever it first and then relever it at the new D/E.
Unlever the beta
βU = 1.4/(1 + 0.7·0.4) = 1.094
Relever at the new D/E
βL = 1.094·(1 + 0.7·1.25) = 2.051
Cost of equity (CAPM)
re = 1% + 2.051·7% = 15.36%
Answer
re = 15.36%
7.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = 4061 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −45 000
CF1/(1 + 0.12)1 = 15 000/1.12 = 13 392.86
CF2/(1 + 0.12)2 = 17 000/1.254 = 13 552.30
CF3/(1 + 0.12)3 = 15 000/1.405 = 10 676.70
CF4/(1 + 0.12)4 = 18 000/1.574 = 11 439.33
Add them up
NPV = €4 061.18
Answer
NPV = €4 061.18
NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.
8.NPV & IRR
Answer: r* = 9.219 %
Crossover rate: the discount rate at which two projects have the same NPV. It is the IRR of the difference in their cash flows (B − A). Below it the project with the later, larger cash flows has the higher NPV; above it the other one wins.