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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You invest €12 000 at a nominal rate of 4% per year, compounded monthly. Find the value FV of the investment after 10 years.
PV = €12 0004% / 12n = 10
FV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €200 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 30 years. The interest rate is 4.8% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.
P = €200 0004.8% / 12N = 360
A = €
3.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
You buy a bond with 5 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 2%) when its yield to maturity is 5.5%. One year later, just after receiving the first coupon, you sell it when the yield to maturity is 6.5%. Find your holding period return HPR in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 2%n = 5y0 = 5.5%y1 = 6.5%
HPR = %
4.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 and an annual coupon of 3% matures in 6 years and sells for €875. Find its yield to maturity YTM in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 3%n = 6P = €875
YTM = %
5.CAPM & WACCMedium
A share with a beta of 1.5 has a required return of 10.75%. The risk-free rate is 4%. What expected market return rm does CAPM imply?
β = 1.5re = 10.75%rf = 4%
rm = %
6.CAPM & WACCHard
A company has 1 000 000 shares trading at €21.50; the book value of its equity is €12 900 000. It just paid a dividend of €1.50 per share, and dividends grow by 3% per year. Its debt has a market value of €12 900 000 and a pre-tax cost of 3%. The tax rate is 28%. Find the WACC, using the dividend growth model for the cost of equity.
A project costs €50 000 today and returns €18 000 at the end of each year for 5 years. The cost of capital is 5%. Assume cash flows arrive evenly through each year. Find the discounted payback period DPB in years.
Project A costs €40 000 and returns €22 000, €16 000, €9 500 at the end of years 1 to 3. Project B costs €45 000 and returns €13 000, €18 000, €23 500. Find the crossover rate r* at which both projects have the same NPV, in percent.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly rate and number of payments
i = 0.048/12 = 0.004
N = 12·30 = 360
Payment
The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.
(1 + i)−N = 0.2376
A = 200 000·0.004/(1 − 0.2376) = €1 049.33
Answer
A = €1 049.33
3.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: HPR = 1.799 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
€875 = €30·(1 − (1 + y)⁻⁶)/y + €1 000/(1 + y)⁶
Solve numerically
P(5%) = €898.49, P(6%) = €852.48
YTM = 5.502%
Answer
YTM = 5.502%
5.CAPM & WACC
Answer: rm = 8.5 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Market risk premium
rm − rf = (10.75% − 4%)/1.5 = 4.5%
Market return
rm = 4% + 4.5% = 8.5%
Answer
rm = 8.5%
6.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 7.176 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Payback period: the time until the cumulative cash flows repay the initial investment. Cash is assumed to come in evenly during each year, so the last part is a fraction of a year. The simple payback ignores the time value of money; the discounted payback period uses the discounted cash flows instead.
Discounted and cumulative cash flows
year 1: 18 000/1.05 = 17 142.86 → Σ = 17 142.86
year 2: 18 000/1.103 = 16 326.53 → Σ = 33 469.39
year 3: 18 000/1.158 = 15 549.08 → Σ = 49 018.46
year 4: 18 000/1.216 = 14 808.64 → Σ = 63 827.11
Fraction of the last year
DPB = 3 + 981.54/14 808.64 = 3.066
Answer
DPB = 3.066 years
The discounted payback is always longer than the simple payback (2.778 years).
8.NPV & IRR
Answer: r* = 6.155 %
Crossover rate: the discount rate at which two projects have the same NPV. It is the IRR of the difference in their cash flows (B − A). Below it the project with the later, larger cash flows has the higher NPV; above it the other one wins.