Descriptive statistics
- Mean
- x̄ = Σx/n
- Sample standard deviation
- s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
- Median
- middle value of the sorted data
- z-score
- z = (x − μ)/σ
- Normal distribution
- 68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ
Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 16 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.
A new depression questionnaire predicts which students will seek treatment over the next year. This supports which type of validity?
After analysing the data, a researcher writes the introduction as if an unexpected finding had been predicted all along. This is called:
Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 35, 51, 51, 33, 41, 28.
A quantity is normally distributed with mean 60 and standard deviation 5. What proportion P of values is above 57.5?
A bag holds 5 red and 8 blue balls. You draw two balls without putting the first one back. What is the probability P that both are red?
A game costs €2 to play. You win €8 with probability 0.2 and €100 with probability 0.05; otherwise you win nothing. The stake is not returned. Find the expected net gain E(G) per game.
The battery lifetimes are normally distributed with mean 500 h and standard deviation 40 h. What fraction lies between 502 and 534 h? Give P as a decimal.
The bag weights are normally distributed with mean 250 g and standard deviation 5 g. Find the value x below which 95% of them lie (the 95th percentile).
A sample of 16 items has mean 111 and standard deviation s = 15.5. The population is roughly normal. Find the lower limit of the 90% confidence interval for the mean.
The diameters of 16 machined shafts have a sample standard deviation of 2.9 µm. Assuming the diameters are normally distributed, find the upper limit σ of the 95% confidence interval for the population standard deviation. With df = 15, 2.5% of the χ² distribution lies below 6.262 and 2.5% lies above 27.488.
A sample of 36 students has a mean score of 491.3 and a sample standard deviation of 20. Find the test statistic t for H₀: μ = 500.
How large must a sample be so that the 99% confidence interval for a mean has a margin of error of at most 3? The standard deviation is 20. Find the smallest sample size n.
The table gives 5 paired observations of x = hours studied and y = exam score. Find the coefficient of determination r² of the least-squares line.
The table gives 6 paired observations of x = car age in years and y = price in k€. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. For which value x does the line predict ŷ = 15?
The contingency table shows observed counts. For a chi-square test of independence, find the expected count E for the cell “students, bike”.
A chi-square goodness-of-fit test compares observed counts in 4 categories with fully specified expected proportions (no parameters are estimated from the data). How many degrees of freedom df does the test have?
Answer: C · Predictive validity
Predictive validity is shown when scores predict a later criterion. Concurrent validity uses a criterion measured at the same time.
Answer: D · HARKing (hypothesising after the results are known)
HARKing presents exploratory results as confirmatory, making findings look more robust than they are. It contributes to the replication crisis.
Answer: s = 9.6
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Answer: P = 0.6915
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Answer: P = 0.1282
Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.
Answer: E(G) = 4.6 €
Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.
A positive value means you win money on average.
Answer: P = 0.2824
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
Answer: x = 258.2 g
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
Answer: lower limit = 104.2
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Answer: σ = 4.488 µm
Interval for a variance: (n − 1)s²/σ² has a χ² distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom. The 95% interval for σ² runs from (n − 1)s² divided by the upper χ² value (2.5% above it) to (n − 1)s² divided by the lower χ² value (2.5% below it); the interval for σ is the square root of both limits. It is not symmetric around s.
95% interval for σ: [2.142, 4.488] µm.
Answer: t = −2.61
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
|t| > 2.03, so H₀ is rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).
Answer: n = 295
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Answer: r² = 0.9854
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
About 98.54% of the variation in y is explained by the line.
Answer: x = 3.976
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Answer: E = 30.45
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.
Answer: df = 3
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.
ExamProblems · examproblems.com/courses/research-methods-psychology