Descriptive statistics
- Mean
- x̄ = Σx/n
- Sample standard deviation
- s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
- Median
- middle value of the sorted data
- z-score
- z = (x − μ)/σ
- Normal distribution
- 68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ
Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 16 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.
The same 25 participants complete a memory test before and after caffeine. The scores are interval and roughly normal. Which test is appropriate?
A memory study uses a repeated measures design where everyone learns list A then list B. Recall is better for list B. What is the most likely flaw?
Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 30, 15, 30, 20, 58, 15.
A quantity is normally distributed with mean 500 and standard deviation 40. What proportion P of values is above 516?
A bag holds 4 red and 7 blue balls. You draw two balls without putting the first one back. What is the probability P that both are red?
A game costs €10 to play. You win €20 with probability 0.25 and €500 with probability 0.05; otherwise you win nothing. The stake is not returned. Find the expected net gain E(G) per game.
The masses of bags of cement are independent and normal with mean 25 kg and standard deviation 0.5 kg. Find the probability P that the total mass of 5 of them exceeds 125.6 kg. Round z to two decimals.
Hole diameters D are normal with mean 25.04 mm and standard deviation 0.01 mm. Shaft diameters d are independent and normal with mean 25 mm and standard deviation 0.015 mm. A randomly chosen shaft fits when D − d > 0. Find the probability P that it fits. Round z to two decimals.
A sample of 16 items has mean 69 and standard deviation s = 19.5. The population is roughly normal. Find the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval for the mean.
The population standard deviation is 27. How large a sample n do you need so that a 99% confidence interval for the mean has a margin of error of at most 2?
A sample of 25 students has a mean score of 107.6 and a sample standard deviation of 20. Find the test statistic t for H₀: μ = 120.
A one-sided z test of H₀: μ = 200 against H₁: μ < 200 is done at α = 0.01 with a sample of 36; the standard deviation is known to be 12. In reality the mean is 193. Find the power 1 − β of the test in percent.
The table gives 5 paired observations of x = temperature in °C and y = ice creams sold. Find the coefficient of determination r² of the least-squares line.
The table gives 5 paired observations of x = car age in years and y = price in k€. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. Predict ŷ for x = 2.5.
The contingency table shows observed counts. For a chi-square test of independence, find the expected count E for the cell “urban, medium”.
A chi-square test of independence is carried out on a contingency table with 2 rows and 6 columns (not counting the totals). How many degrees of freedom df does the test have?
Answer: B · Paired (related) samples t-test
A paired t-test compares means from the same participants under two conditions, using the differences within each person.
Answer: C · Order effects such as practice, because conditions were not counterbalanced
When all participants experience conditions in the same order, improvement may reflect practice rather than the list. Counterbalancing (ABBA or half AB, half BA) controls this.
Answer: s = 16.19
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Answer: P = 0.3446
Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
Answer: P = 0.1091
Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.
Answer: E(G) = 20 €
Discrete random variables: a probability distribution lists every value x a variable can take with its probability p(x); the probabilities are between 0 and 1 and add up to 1. The expected value (mean) is E(X) = Σx·p(x), the long-run average. The variance is Var(X) = Σ(x − μ)²·p(x) = E(X²) − μ², and the standard deviation σ = √Var(X). For a linear change Y = aX + b: E(Y) = a·E(X) + b, Var(Y) = a²·Var(X) and σY = |a|·σX; adding a constant does not change the spread.
A positive value means you win money on average.
Answer: P = 0.2946
Sums and differences of normal variables: if X and Y are independent and normal, X + Y and X − Y are normal too. Means add or subtract: E(X ± Y) = μX ± μY. Variances always add, also for a difference: Var(X ± Y) = σX² + σY², so σ = √(σX² + σY²). Standard deviations never add directly. The total of n independent items with the same distribution has mean n·μ and standard deviation σ·√n. Then standardise as usual: z = (x − mean)/σ and read Φ(z).
Answer: P = 0.9868
Sums and differences of normal variables: if X and Y are independent and normal, X + Y and X − Y are normal too. Means add or subtract: E(X ± Y) = μX ± μY. Variances always add, also for a difference: Var(X ± Y) = σX² + σY², so σ = √(σX² + σY²). Standard deviations never add directly. The total of n independent items with the same distribution has mean n·μ and standard deviation σ·√n. Then standardise as usual: z = (x − mean)/σ and read Φ(z).
Answer: upper limit = 79.39
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Answer: n = 1210
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
A sample size is a whole number, and rounding down would make the margin too large.
Answer: t = −3.1
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
|t| > 2.064, so H₀ is rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).
Answer: 1 − β = 87.98 %
Power of a test: power = 1 − β is the probability of rejecting H₀ when it is false. Find the cutoff x̄c from μ₀ and z_α, then compute the probability of landing beyond x̄c using the true mean: z = (x̄c − μ)/(σ/√n).
Answer: r² = 0.9831
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
About 98.31% of the variation in y is explained by the line.
Answer: ŷ = 20.25
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Answer: E = 18.72
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.
Answer: df = 5
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.
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