Introductory Statistics: cram pack

Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 12 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.

New problemsBack to the course

In the print window, choose “Save as PDF” to keep a copy on your device.

1Formulas and methods

Descriptive statistics

Mean
x̄ = Σx/n
Sample standard deviation
s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
Median
middle value of the sorted data
z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Normal distribution
68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ

Probability

Complement
P(not A) = 1 − P(A)
Addition rule
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Independent events
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)·P(B)
Conditional probability
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B)
Binomial
P(X = k) = C(n,k)·pk(1 − p)n−k

Normal distribution

z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Below x
P(X < x) = Φ(z)
Above x
P(X > x) = 1 − Φ(z)
Between
Φ(z2) − Φ(z1)
Percentile
x = μ + z·σ

Method

  1. Convert the value to a z-score: z = (x − μ)/σ.
  2. Look up Φ(z), the area to the left of z.
  3. For the area to the right use 1 − Φ(z); for an interval subtract the two left areas.
  4. For a percentile, work backwards: find z for the area, then x = μ + z·σ.

Confidence intervals

σ known
x̄ ± z·σ/√n
σ unknown
x̄ ± t·s/√n, df = n − 1
Critical z
90%: 1.645, 95%: 1.96, 99%: 2.576
Sample size
n = (z·σ/E)², rounded up

Method

  1. Decide between z (population σ known) and t (only the sample s, with n − 1 degrees of freedom).
  2. Find the critical value for the confidence level.
  3. Margin of error: E = critical value × standard deviation/√n.
  4. Interval: x̄ ± E.

Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

z-test for a mean
z = (x̄ − μ0)/(σ/√n)
t-test for a mean
t = (x̄ − μ0)/(s/√n), df = n − 1
Two-sided at 5%
reject H0 if |z| > 1.96
Confidence interval
x̄ ± z·σ/√n

Method

  1. State H₀ and H₁ and decide whether the test is one- or two-sided.
  2. Calculate the test statistic: (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n), or with s and t.
  3. Compare with the critical value, or find the p-value.
  4. Reject H₀ if the statistic is beyond the critical value (p below α), and state the conclusion in words.

Linear regression & correlation

Sums of squares
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = Σx² − (Σx)²/n, Sxy = Σxy − ΣxΣy/n
Slope
b = Sxy/Sxx
Intercept
a = ȳ − b·x̄
Correlation
r = Sxy/√(SxxSyy)
Residual
e = y − ŷ

2Practice problems

1.Descriptive statisticsMedium
152025303540455055

Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 30, 13, 32, 45, 57, 31, 17.

n = 7
s =
2.Descriptive statisticsHard
z −2−1012

Exam scores are normally distributed with mean 500 and standard deviation 75. Find the z-score z of a score of 440.

μ = 500σ = 75x = 440
z =
3.ProbabilityMedium
n = 15k = 4N = ?

In how many ways N can a committee of 4 people be chosen from a group of 15? The order does not matter.

n = 15k = 4
N =
4.ProbabilityHard
n = 12, p = 0.3: P(X = 3) = ?k0123456789101112

A test has 12 multiple-choice questions. A student who guesses gets each one right with probability 0.3, independently. What is the probability P of exactly 3 correct answers?

n = 12p = 0.3k = 3
P =
5.Normal distributionMedium
500540P = ?

The battery lifetimes are normally distributed with mean 500 h and standard deviation 40 h. What fraction lies between 500 and 540 h? Give P as a decimal.

μ = 500σ = 40x1 = 500x2 = 540
P =
6.Normal distributionHard
μ = 250x = ?25%

The bag weights are normally distributed with mean 250 g and standard deviation 5 g. Find the value x below which 25% of them lie (the 25th percentile).

μ = 250σ = 5P = 25%
x = g
7.Confidence intervalsMedium
n = 7, s = 15L = ?Ux̄ = 67.5E90%

A sample of 7 items has mean 67.5 and standard deviation s = 15. The population is roughly normal. Find the lower limit of the 90% confidence interval for the mean.

n = 7x̄ = 67.5s = 1590%t(6) = 1.943
lower limit =
8.Confidence intervalsHard
p = 0.5, n = ?p̂ − Ep̂ + Ep̂E = 0.02590%

Nothing is known in advance about the proportion of defective products. How many products n must be inspected so that a 90% confidence interval for the proportion has a margin of error of at most 0.025?

p = 0.5E = 0.02590%
n =
9.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
t −1.98401.984

A sample of 100 students has a mean score of 197.9 and a sample standard deviation of 8. Find the test statistic t for H₀: μ = 200.

μ₀ = 200x̄ = 197.9s = 8n = 100
t =
10.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
σ = 4, n = ?x̄ − Ex̄ + Ex̄E = 399%

How large must a sample be so that the 99% confidence interval for a mean has a margin of error of at most 3? The standard deviation is 4. Find the smallest sample size n.

σ = 4E = 399%
n =
11.Linear regression & correlationMedium
xy174419442150234825652769xy2025506070

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = temperature in °C and y = ice creams sold. Their sums are given. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r from these sums.

n = 6Σx = 132Σy = 320Σx² = 2974Σy² = 17662Σxy = 7226
r =
12.Linear regression & correlationHard
xy345561772985119513103xy5106080100x = 4

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = hours studied and y = exam score. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. Predict ŷ for x = 4.

n = 6x = 4
ŷ =

3Solutions

1.Descriptive statistics

Answer: s = 15.19

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Mean

x̄ = 225/7 = 32.14

Squared deviations

Σ(x − x̄)² = (−2.143)² + (−19.14)² + (−0.1429)² + 12.86² + 24.86² + (−1.143)² + (−15.14)² = 1385

Standard deviation

s = √(1385/6) = 15.19

Answer

s = 15.19
2.Descriptive statistics

Answer: z = −0.8

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Standardise

z = (440 − 500)/75 = −0.8

Answer

z = −0.8
3.Probability

Answer: N = 1365

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

Combinations

C(15, 4) = (15·14·13·12)/(4·3·2·1) = 1365

Answer

N = 1365
4.Probability

Answer: P = 0.2397

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

Binomial formula

P(X = 3) = 220·0.33·0.79 = 220·0.027·0.04035 = 0.2397

Answer

P = 0.2397
5.Normal distribution

Answer: P = 0.3413

Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.

z-scores

z₁ = (500 − 500)/40 = 0
z₂ = (540 − 500)/40 = 1

Area between

P = Φ(1) − Φ(0) = 0.8413 − 0.5 = 0.3413

Answer

P = 0.3413
6.Normal distribution

Answer: x = 246.6 g

Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.

z for the percentile

Φ(z) = 0.25 → z = −0.6745

Back to x

x = 250 + −0.6745·5 = 246.63 g

Answer

x = 246.63 g
7.Confidence intervals

Answer: lower limit = 56.48

Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.

Critical value

df = n − 1 = 6, t = 1.943

Margin of error

E = 1.943·15/√7 = 11.02

Interval

67.5 ± 11.02 → [56.48, 78.52]

Answer

lower limit = 56.48
8.Confidence intervals

Answer: n = 1083

Confidence interval for a proportion: p̂ ± z·√(p̂(1 − p̂)/n), where p̂ = x/n. To reach a margin E you need n ≥ z²·p(1 − p)/E², rounded up; without a prior estimate use p = 0.5, which gives the largest n.

Solve for n

n = 1.645²·0.5·0.5/0.025² = 1082

Round up

n = 1083

Answer

n = 1083
9.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: t = −2.625

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Standard error

SE = 8/√100 = 8/10 = 0.8

Test statistic

t = (197.9 − 200)/0.8 = −2.625

Answer

t = −2.625
t0.025; df = 99 = 1.984

|t| > 1.984, so H₀ is rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).

10.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: n = 12

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Solve for n

n = (2.576·4/3)² = 11.8

Round up

n = 12

Answer

n = 12
11.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: r = 0.9111

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Centred sums

Sxy = 7226 − 132·320/6 = 186
Sxx = 2974 − 132²/6 = 70
Syy = 17662 − 320²/6 = 595.3

Correlation coefficient

r = 186/√(70·595.3) = 0.9111

Answer

r = 0.9111
12.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: ŷ = 53.69

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 48/6 = 8
ȳ = 461/6 = 76.83

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 405

Regression line

b = 405/70 = 5.786
a = 76.83 − 5.786·8 = 30.55
ŷ = 30.55 + 5.786·x

Prediction

ŷ = 30.55 + 5.786·4 = 53.69

Answer

ŷ = 53.69

ExamProblems · examproblems.com/courses/statistics-1