Introductory Statistics: cram pack

Formula sheets, the key method steps for every topic and 12 practice problems, with full solutions at the back.

New problemsBack to the course

In the print window, choose “Save as PDF” to keep a copy on your device.

1Formulas and methods

Descriptive statistics

Mean
x̄ = Σx/n
Sample standard deviation
s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1))
Median
middle value of the sorted data
z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Normal distribution
68% within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ

Probability

Complement
P(not A) = 1 − P(A)
Addition rule
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Independent events
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)·P(B)
Conditional probability
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B)
Binomial
P(X = k) = C(n,k)·pk(1 − p)n−k

Normal distribution

z-score
z = (x − μ)/σ
Below x
P(X < x) = Φ(z)
Above x
P(X > x) = 1 − Φ(z)
Between
Φ(z2) − Φ(z1)
Percentile
x = μ + z·σ

Method

  1. Convert the value to a z-score: z = (x − μ)/σ.
  2. Look up Φ(z), the area to the left of z.
  3. For the area to the right use 1 − Φ(z); for an interval subtract the two left areas.
  4. For a percentile, work backwards: find z for the area, then x = μ + z·σ.

Confidence intervals

σ known
x̄ ± z·σ/√n
σ unknown
x̄ ± t·s/√n, df = n − 1
Critical z
90%: 1.645, 95%: 1.96, 99%: 2.576
Sample size
n = (z·σ/E)², rounded up

Method

  1. Decide between z (population σ known) and t (only the sample s, with n − 1 degrees of freedom).
  2. Find the critical value for the confidence level.
  3. Margin of error: E = critical value × standard deviation/√n.
  4. Interval: x̄ ± E.

Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

z-test for a mean
z = (x̄ − μ0)/(σ/√n)
t-test for a mean
t = (x̄ − μ0)/(s/√n), df = n − 1
Two-sided at 5%
reject H0 if |z| > 1.96
Confidence interval
x̄ ± z·σ/√n

Method

  1. State H₀ and H₁ and decide whether the test is one- or two-sided.
  2. Calculate the test statistic: (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n), or with s and t.
  3. Compare with the critical value, or find the p-value.
  4. Reject H₀ if the statistic is beyond the critical value (p below α), and state the conclusion in words.

Linear regression & correlation

Sums of squares
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = Σx² − (Σx)²/n, Sxy = Σxy − ΣxΣy/n
Slope
b = Sxy/Sxx
Intercept
a = ȳ − b·x̄
Correlation
r = Sxy/√(SxxSyy)
Residual
e = y − ŷ

2Practice problems

1.Descriptive statisticsMedium
253035404550

Find the sample standard deviation s of the data: 33, 52, 25, 45, 27, 43, 43.

n = 7
s =
2.Descriptive statisticsHard
z −2−1012

Exam scores are normally distributed with mean 170 and standard deviation 5. Find the z-score z of a score of 160.

μ = 170σ = 5x = 160
z =
3.ProbabilityMedium
P(at least one six) = ??1?2?3?4?5?6?7?8P(six) = 1/6 on each roll

A fair die is rolled 8 times. What is the probability P of getting at least one six?

n = 8
P =
4.ProbabilityHard
n = 9, p = 0.3: P(X ≤ 1) = ?k0123456789

9 components are tested, and each one fails with probability 0.3, independently. What is the probability P that at most one fails?

n = 9p = 0.3
P =
5.Normal distributionMedium
−3−2−10123zshaded area to the right of z = 0.0256

Drag z so that the shaded area under the standard normal curve, to the right of z, is 0.0256. Find z to two decimals.

A = 0.0256
z =
6.Normal distributionHard
235240245250255260265gtop 75%

The bag weights are normally distributed with mean 250 g and standard deviation 5 g. Drag the cut-off so the shaded top 75% is to the right of it. Find the cut-off x.

μ = 250 gσ = 5 g75%
x = g
7.Confidence intervalsMedium
n = 6, sd​ = 30LUd̄ = 2E = ?95%

The blood pressure of 6 patients is measured before and after a treatment. The differences d = before − after (mmHg) have mean 2 and standard deviation 3. Find the margin of error E of the 95% confidence interval for the mean difference.

n = 6d̄ = 2sd = 395%t(5) = 2.571
E = mmHg
8.Confidence intervalsHard
p = 0.5, n = ?p̂ − Ep̂ + Ep̂E = 0.0499%

Nothing is known in advance about the proportion of defective products. How many products n must be inspected so that a 99% confidence interval for the proportion has a margin of error of at most 0.04?

p = 0.5E = 0.0499%
n =
9.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
−2.2622.262t = ?df = 9

10 employees take a typing test before and after a training course. For each person the difference d = after − before (words per minute) is recorded. The mean difference is −2.37 and the standard deviation of the differences is 3. Find the paired test statistic t for H₀: μd = 0.

n = 10d̄ = −2.37sd = 3
t =
10.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
σ = 8, n = ?x̄ − Ex̄ + Ex̄E = 195%

How large must a sample be so that the 95% confidence interval for a mean has a margin of error of at most 1? The standard deviation is 8. Find the smallest sample size n.

σ = 8E = 195%
n =
11.Linear regression & correlationMedium
xy120225326432533639xy246203040

The table gives 6 paired observations of x = advertising spend in k€ and y = sales in k€. Their sums are given. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r from these sums.

n = 6Σx = 21Σy = 175Σx² = 91Σy² = 5335Σxy = 675
r =
12.Linear regression & correlationHard
xy156264359467573xy246070x = 3.5

The table gives 5 paired observations of x = hours studied and y = exam score. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. A new observation (3.5, 71) is made. Find its residual e = y − ŷ.

n = 5(3.5, 71)
e =

3Solutions

1.Descriptive statistics

Answer: s = 10.08

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Mean

x̄ = 268/7 = 38.29

Squared deviations

Σ(x − x̄)² = (−5.286)² + 13.71² + (−13.29)² + 6.714² + (−11.29)² + 4.714² + 4.714² = 609.4

Standard deviation

s = √(609.4/6) = 10.08

Answer

s = 10.08
2.Descriptive statistics

Answer: z = −2

Descriptive statistics: the mean is the sum divided by n; the median is the middle value of the sorted data (the average of the two middle values when n is even). The sample standard deviation is s = √(Σ(x − x̄)²/(n − 1)). A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.

Standardise

z = (160 − 170)/5 = −2

Answer

z = −2
3.Probability

Answer: P = 0.7674

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

Complement

P(no six) = (5/6)8 = 0.2326
P = 1 − 0.2326 = 0.7674

Answer

P = 0.7674
4.Probability

Answer: P = 0.196

Probability: with equally likely outcomes, P(A) = favourable/total. For independent events multiply: P(A and B) = P(A)·P(B). The complement often helps: P(at least one) = 1 − P(none). Binomial: in n independent trials with success probability p, P(X = k) = C(n, k)·pᵏ·(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ.

Zero and one failure

P(X = 0) = 0.79 = 0.04035
P(X = 1) = 9·0.3·0.78 = 0.1556

Add them

P = 0.04035 + 0.1556 = 0.196

Answer

P = 0.196
5.Normal distribution

Answer: z = 1.95

From an area back to z: Φ(z) is the area to the left of z. For a left-tail area A, find z with Φ(z) = A in the table. A right-tail area A means Φ(z) = 1 − A. A central area A between −z and z leaves (1 − A)/2 in each tail, so Φ(z) = (1 + A)/2. For a value x, use x = μ + zσ.

Area to the left of z

Φ(z) = 1 − 0.0256 = 0.9744

Read the z-table backwards

Find 0.9744 inside the table and read off z.

z = 1.95

Answer

z = 1.95
6.Normal distribution

Answer: x = 246.7 g

From an area back to z: Φ(z) is the area to the left of z. For a left-tail area A, find z with Φ(z) = A in the table. A right-tail area A means Φ(z) = 1 − A. A central area A between −z and z leaves (1 − A)/2 in each tail, so Φ(z) = (1 + A)/2. For a value x, use x = μ + zσ.

Area to the left

Φ(z) = 0.25

z from the table

z ≈ −0.67

Back to the original units

x = 250 − 0.67·5 = 246.7 g

Answer

x = 246.7 g
7.Confidence intervals

Answer: E = 3.149 mmHg

Interval for a difference: estimate ± critical value × standard error. For two independent means with known σ: SE = √(σ₁²/n₁ + σ₂²/n₂) and z. With equal unknown variances: pooled s_p and t with n₁ + n₂ − 2 degrees of freedom. For paired data, work with the differences: d̄ ± t·s_d/√n.

Critical value

df = 5, t = 2.571

Margin of error

E = 2.571·3/√6 = 3.149

Answer

E = 3.149 mmHg
8.Confidence intervals

Answer: n = 1037

Confidence interval for a proportion: p̂ ± z·√(p̂(1 − p̂)/n), where p̂ = x/n. To reach a margin E you need n ≥ z²·p(1 − p)/E², rounded up; without a prior estimate use p = 0.5, which gives the largest n.

Solve for n

n = 2.576²·0.5·0.5/0.04² = 1037

Round up

n = 1037

Answer

n = 1037
9.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: t = −2.498

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Standard error of the mean difference

SE = 3/√10 = 0.9487

Test statistic

t = −2.37/0.9487 = −2.498

Answer

t = −2.498

With df = 9, the two-sided 5% critical value is 2.262; |t| is larger, so H₀ is rejected.

10.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals

Answer: n = 246

Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).

Solve for n

n = (1.96·8/1)² = 245.9

Round up

n = 246

Answer

n = 246
11.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: r = 0.9834

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Centred sums

Sxy = 675 − 21·175/6 = 62.5
Sxx = 91 − 21²/6 = 17.5
Syy = 5335 − 175²/6 = 230.8

Correlation coefficient

r = 62.5/√(17.5·230.8) = 0.9834

Answer

r = 0.9834
12.Linear regression & correlation

Answer: e = 5.35

Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.

Means

x̄ = 15/5 = 3
ȳ = 319/5 = 63.8

Sums of squares and products

Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 10
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 37

Regression line

b = 37/10 = 3.7
a = 63.8 − 3.7·3 = 52.7
ŷ = 52.7 + 3.7·x

Predicted value

ŷ = 52.7 + 3.7·3.5 = 65.65

Residual

e = 71 − 65.65 = 5.35

Answer

e = 5.35

The point lies above the line.

ExamProblems · examproblems.com/courses/statistics-1