E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1)
Critical values (α = 0.05)
df 1: 3.841, 2: 5.991, 3: 7.815, 4: 9.488
Decision
reject H0 if χ² > χ²crit
2Practice problems
1.Normal distributionMedium
The delivery times are normally distributed with mean 32 min and standard deviation 6 min. What fraction lies between 30.2 and 39.5 min? Give P as a decimal.
μ = 32σ = 6x1 = 30.2x2 = 39.5
P =
2.Normal distributionHard
Runner A's lap time X and runner B's lap time Y are independent and normal: X has mean 52 s and standard deviation 4 s, Y has mean 48 s and standard deviation 3 s. Find the probability P that X is greater than Y. Round z to two decimals.
μX = 52 s, σX = 4 sμY = 48 s, σY = 3 s
P =
3.Confidence intervalsMedium
A sample of 13 items has mean 107.5 and standard deviation s = 6. The population is roughly normal. Find the margin of error E of a 90% confidence interval for the mean.
n = 13x̄ = 107.5s = 690%t(12) = 1.782
E =
4.Confidence intervalsHard
The population standard deviation is 7. How large a sample n do you need so that a 95% confidence interval for the mean has a margin of error of at most 2.5?
σ = 7E = 2.595%
n =
5.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
A sample of 81 students has a mean score of 73.84 and a sample standard deviation of 4. Find the test statistic t for H₀: μ = 75.
μ₀ = 75x̄ = 73.84s = 4n = 81
t =
6.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
A sample of 36 measurements has mean 206.8. The population standard deviation is 15. Find the lower limit L of the 90% confidence interval for the mean.
x̄ = 206.8σ = 15n = 3690%
L =
7.Linear regression & correlationMedium
The table gives 5 paired observations of x = car age in years and y = price in k€. Their sums are given. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r from these sums.
n = 5Σx = 15Σy = 117Σx² = 55Σy² = 2751Σxy = 341
r =
8.Linear regression & correlationHard
The table gives 5 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. Predict ŷ for x = 7.
n = 5x = 7
ŷ =
9.Chi-square testsMedium
The contingency table shows observed counts. For a chi-square test of independence, find the expected count E for the cell “students, bike”.
row total = 68column total = 36N = 112
E =
10.Chi-square testsHard
The table shows observed counts. Test at α = 0.01 whether the two variables are independent (no continuity correction). Compute the test statistic χ², then compare it with the critical value from the table.
N = 1403 × 2α = 0.01
χ² =
3Solutions
1.Normal distribution
Answer: P = 0.5123
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
z-scores
z₁ = (30.2 − 32)/6 = −0.3
z₂ = (39.5 − 32)/6 = 1.25
Area between
P = Φ(1.25) − Φ(−0.3) = 0.8944 − 0.3821 = 0.5123
Answer
P = 0.5123
2.Normal distribution
Answer: P = 0.7881
Sums and differences of normal variables: if X and Y are independent and normal, X + Y and X − Y are normal too. Means add or subtract: E(X ± Y) = μX ± μY. Variances always add, also for a difference: Var(X ± Y) = σX² + σY², so σ = √(σX² + σY²). Standard deviations never add directly. The total of n independent items with the same distribution has mean n·μ and standard deviation σ·√n. Then standardise as usual: z = (x − mean)/σ and read Φ(z).
Distribution of the difference
μ = 52 − 48 = 4 s, σ = 5 s
Standardise
z = (0 − 4)/5 = −0.8
Probability
P = 1 − Φ(−0.8) = 0.7881
Answer
P = 0.7881
3.Confidence intervals
Answer: E = 2.965
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Critical value
df = n − 1 = 12, t = 1.782
Margin of error
E = 1.782·6/√13 = 2.965
Answer
E = 2.965
4.Confidence intervals
Answer: n = 31
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Solve for n
n = (1.96·7/2.5)² = 30.12
Round up
A sample size is a whole number, and rounding down would make the margin too large.
n = 31
Answer
n = 31
5.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: t = −2.61
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Standard error
SE = 4/√81 = 4/9 = 0.4444
Test statistic
t = (73.84 − 75)/0.4444 = −2.61
Answer
t = −2.61
t0.025; df = 80 = 1.99
|t| > 1.99, so H₀ is rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).
6.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: L = 202.7
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Margin of error
E = 1.645·15/√36 = 4.112
Interval limit
L = 206.8 − 4.112 = 202.7
Answer
L = 202.7
7.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: r = −0.8704
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Centred sums
Sxy = 341 − 15·117/5 = −10
Sxx = 55 − 15²/5 = 10
Syy = 2751 − 117²/5 = 13.2
Correlation coefficient
r = −10/√(10·13.2) = −0.8704
Answer
r = −0.8704
8.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: ŷ = 13
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Means
x̄ = 30/5 = 6
ȳ = 56/5 = 11.2
Sums of squares and products
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 40
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 72
Regression line
b = 72/40 = 1.8
a = 11.2 − 1.8·6 = 0.4
ŷ = 0.4 + 1.8·x
Prediction
ŷ = 0.4 + 1.8·7 = 13
Answer
ŷ = 13
9.Chi-square tests
Answer: E = 21.86
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.
Expected count
E = 68·36/112 = 21.86
Answer
E = 21.86
10.Chi-square tests
Answer: χ² = 12.15
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.