E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1)
Critical values (α = 0.05)
df 1: 3.841, 2: 5.991, 3: 7.815, 4: 9.488
Decision
reject H0 if χ² > χ²crit
2Practice problems
1.Normal distributionMedium
Drag z so that the shaded area between −z and z under the standard normal curve is 0.8501. Find z to two decimals.
A = 0.8501
z =
2.Normal distributionHard
The bag weights are normally distributed with mean 250 g and standard deviation 5 g. Find the value x below which 10% of them lie (the 10th percentile).
μ = 250σ = 5P = 10%
x = g
3.Confidence intervalsMedium
A sample of 9 items has mean 31 and standard deviation s = 4. The population is roughly normal. Find the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval for the mean.
n = 9x̄ = 31s = 495%t(8) = 2.306
upper limit =
4.Confidence intervalsHard
The diameters of 20 machined shafts have a sample standard deviation of 6.2 µm. Assuming the diameters are normally distributed, find the upper limit σ of the 95% confidence interval for the population standard deviation. With df = 19, 2.5% of the χ² distribution lies below 8.907 and 2.5% lies above 32.852.
n = 20s = 6.2 µmχ² = 8.907, 32.852
σ = µm
5.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
6 employees take a typing test before and after a training course. For each person the difference d = after − before (words per minute) is recorded. The mean difference is 2.65 and the standard deviation of the differences is 1.8. Find the paired test statistic t for H₀: μd = 0.
n = 6d̄ = 2.65sd = 1.8
t =
6.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
A sample of 81 measurements has mean 117.9. The population standard deviation is 8. Find the upper limit U of the 99% confidence interval for the mean.
x̄ = 117.9σ = 8n = 8199%
U =
7.Linear regression & correlationMedium
The table gives 5 paired observations of x = temperature in °C and y = ice creams sold. Their sums are given. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r from these sums.
The table gives 6 paired observations of x = hours studied and y = exam score. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. Predict ŷ for x = 6.
n = 6x = 6
ŷ =
9.Chi-square testsMedium
The contingency table shows observed counts. For a chi-square test of independence, find the expected count E for the cell “students, bike”.
row total = 115column total = 38N = 175
E =
10.Chi-square testsHard
The table shows observed counts. Test at α = 0.05 whether the two variables are independent (no continuity correction). Compute the test statistic χ², then compare it with the critical value from the table.
N = 2003 × 2α = 0.05
χ² =
3Solutions
1.Normal distribution
Answer: z = 1.44
From an area back to z: Φ(z) is the area to the left of z. For a left-tail area A, find z with Φ(z) = A in the table. A right-tail area A means Φ(z) = 1 − A. A central area A between −z and z leaves (1 − A)/2 in each tail, so Φ(z) = (1 + A)/2. For a value x, use x = μ + zσ.
Area to the left of z
Φ(z) = (1 + 0.8501)/2 = 0.9251
Read the z-table backwards
Find 0.9251 inside the table and read off z.
z = 1.44
Answer
z = 1.44
2.Normal distribution
Answer: x = 243.6 g
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
z for the percentile
Φ(z) = 0.1 → z = −1.282
Back to x
x = 250 + −1.282·5 = 243.59 g
Answer
x = 243.59 g
3.Confidence intervals
Answer: upper limit = 34.07
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Critical value
df = n − 1 = 8, t = 2.306
Margin of error
E = 2.306·4/√9 = 3.075
Interval
31 ± 3.075 → [27.93, 34.07]
Answer
upper limit = 34.07
4.Confidence intervals
Answer: σ = 9.055 µm
Interval for a variance: (n − 1)s²/σ² has a χ² distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom. The 95% interval for σ² runs from (n − 1)s² divided by the upper χ² value (2.5% above it) to (n − 1)s² divided by the lower χ² value (2.5% below it); the interval for σ is the square root of both limits. It is not symmetric around s.
Sum of squares
(n − 1)s² = 19·6.2² = 730.4
Limits for σ²
730.4/32.852 = 22.23
730.4/8.907 = 82
Limit for σ
σ = √82 = 9.055 µm
Answer
σ = 9.055 µm
95% interval for σ: [4.715, 9.055] µm.
5.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: t = 3.606
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Standard error of the mean difference
SE = 1.8/√6 = 0.7348
Test statistic
t = 2.65/0.7348 = 3.606
Answer
t = 3.606
With df = 5, the two-sided 5% critical value is 2.571; |t| is larger, so H₀ is rejected.
6.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: U = 120.2
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Margin of error
E = 2.576·8/√81 = 2.29
Interval limit
U = 117.9 + 2.29 = 120.2
Answer
U = 120.2
7.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: r = 0.9842
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Centred sums
Sxy = 9284 − 110·412/5 = 220
Sxx = 2460 − 110²/5 = 40
Syy = 35198 − 412²/5 = 1249
Correlation coefficient
r = 220/√(40·1249) = 0.9842
Answer
r = 0.9842
8.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: ŷ = 77.67
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Means
x̄ = 36/6 = 6
ȳ = 466/6 = 77.67
Sums of squares and products
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 478
Regression line
b = 478/70 = 6.829
a = 77.67 − 6.829·6 = 36.7
ŷ = 36.7 + 6.829·x
Prediction
ŷ = 36.7 + 6.829·6 = 77.67
Answer
ŷ = 77.67
9.Chi-square tests
Answer: E = 24.97
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.
Expected count
E = 115·38/175 = 24.97
Answer
E = 24.97
10.Chi-square tests
Answer: χ² = 0.8
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.