E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1)
Critical values (α = 0.05)
df 1: 3.841, 2: 5.991, 3: 7.815, 4: 9.488
Decision
reject H0 if χ² > χ²crit
2Practice problems
1.Normal distributionMedium
Drag z so that the shaded area under the standard normal curve, to the right of z, is 0.8133. Find z to two decimals.
A = 0.8133
z =
2.Normal distributionHard
The delivery times are normally distributed with mean 32 min and standard deviation 6 min. Find the value x below which 80% of them lie (the 80th percentile).
μ = 32σ = 6P = 80%
x = min
3.Confidence intervalsMedium
The battery life of two phone models is compared. Model 1: 60 phones, mean 69 h, known standard deviation 16 h. Model 2: 60 phones, mean 72.5 h, known standard deviation 3 h. Find the margin of error E of the 90% confidence interval for μ₁ − μ₂.
The population standard deviation is 12. How large a sample n do you need so that a 90% confidence interval for the mean has a margin of error of at most 2.5?
σ = 12E = 2.590%
n =
5.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsMedium
A sample of 100 students has a mean score of 199.6 and a sample standard deviation of 5. Find the test statistic t for H₀: μ = 200.
μ₀ = 200x̄ = 199.6s = 5n = 100
t =
6.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervalsHard
A one-sided z test of H₀: μ = 100 against H₁: μ < 100 is done at α = 0.05 with a sample of 64; the standard deviation is known to be 16. In reality the mean is 93. Find the probability of a Type II error β in percent.
μ₀ = 100μ = 93σ = 16n = 64α = 0.05
β = %
7.Linear regression & correlationMedium
The table gives 5 paired observations of x = hours studied and y = exam score. Find Pearson's correlation coefficient r.
n = 5
r =
8.Linear regression & correlationHard
The table gives 6 paired observations of x = load in kN and y = extension in mm. Use the least-squares line ŷ = a + b·x. Predict ŷ for x = 11.
n = 6x = 11
ŷ =
9.Chi-square testsMedium
The contingency table shows observed counts. Compute the chi-square statistic χ² for the test of independence between the row and column variables. Do not use a continuity correction.
N = 1402 × 2
χ² =
10.Chi-square testsHard
The table shows observed counts. Test at α = 0.05 whether the two variables are independent (no continuity correction). Compute the test statistic χ², then compare it with the critical value from the table.
N = 2203 × 2α = 0.05
χ² =
3Solutions
1.Normal distribution
Answer: z = −0.89
From an area back to z: Φ(z) is the area to the left of z. For a left-tail area A, find z with Φ(z) = A in the table. A right-tail area A means Φ(z) = 1 − A. A central area A between −z and z leaves (1 − A)/2 in each tail, so Φ(z) = (1 + A)/2. For a value x, use x = μ + zσ.
Area to the left of z
Φ(z) = 1 − 0.8133 = 0.1867
Read the z-table backwards
Find 0.1867 inside the table and read off z.
z = −0.89
Answer
z = −0.89
2.Normal distribution
Answer: x = 37.05 min
Normal distribution: convert a value x to a z-score, z = (x − μ)/σ, which counts standard deviations from the mean. A z-table (or Φ(z)) gives the area to the left of z, which is P(X < x). The area to the right is 1 − Φ(z), and the area between two values is the difference of their two areas.
z for the percentile
Φ(z) = 0.8 → z = 0.8416
Back to x
x = 32 + 0.8416·6 = 37.05 min
Answer
x = 37.05 min
3.Confidence intervals
Answer: E = 3.457 h
Interval for a difference: estimate ± critical value × standard error. For two independent means with known σ: SE = √(σ₁²/n₁ + σ₂²/n₂) and z. With equal unknown variances: pooled s_p and t with n₁ + n₂ − 2 degrees of freedom. For paired data, work with the differences: d̄ ± t·s_d/√n.
Point estimate
x̄₁ − x̄₂ = 69 − 72.5 = −3.5
Standard error
SE = √(16²/60 + 3²/60) = 2.102
Margin of error
E = 1.645·2.102 = 3.457
Answer
E = 3.457 h
The interval does not contain 0, so the means differ significantly.
4.Confidence intervals
Answer: n = 63
Confidence interval for a mean: x̄ ± margin of error. With a known population σ the margin is z·σ/√n; with only the sample standard deviation s, use t with n − 1 degrees of freedom: t·s/√n. Critical values: z = 1.645 (90%), 1.96 (95%), 2.576 (99%). To get a margin E or smaller, you need n ≥ (z·σ/E)², rounded up.
Solve for n
n = (1.645·12/2.5)² = 62.35
Round up
A sample size is a whole number, and rounding down would make the margin too large.
n = 63
Answer
n = 63
5.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: t = −0.8
Testing a mean: the test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the value claimed in H₀: z = (x̄ − μ₀)/(σ/√n) when σ is known, t = (x̄ − μ₀)/(s/√n) when it is estimated from the sample. A confidence interval is x̄ ± (critical value)·(standard error).
Standard error
SE = 5/√100 = 5/10 = 0.5
Test statistic
t = (199.6 − 200)/0.5 = −0.8
Answer
t = −0.8
t0.025; df = 99 = 1.984
|t| < 1.984, so H₀ is not rejected at the 5% level (two-sided).
6.Hypothesis tests & confidence intervals
Answer: β = 3.18 %
Power of a test: power = 1 − β is the probability of rejecting H₀ when it is false. Find the cutoff x̄c from μ₀ and z_α, then compute the probability of landing beyond x̄c using the true mean: z = (x̄c − μ)/(σ/√n).
Critical sample mean
SE = 16/√64 = 2
x̄c = 100 − 1.645·2 = 96.71
z under the true mean
z = (96.71 − 93)/2 = 1.855
Type II error
power = P(Z < 1.855) = 96.82%
β = 100% − 96.82% = 3.18%
Answer
β = 3.18%
7.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: r = 0.9247
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Means
x̄ = 15/5 = 3
ȳ = 286/5 = 57.2
Sums of squares and products
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 10
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 45
Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² = 236.8
Correlation coefficient
r = 45/√(10·236.8) = 0.9247
Answer
r = 0.9247
8.Linear regression & correlation
Answer: ŷ = 18.18
Least-squares regression: with x̄ and ȳ the means, Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)², Syy = Σ(y − ȳ)² and Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ), the line ŷ = a + b·x has slope b = Sxy/Sxx and intercept a = ȳ − b·x̄, so it always passes through (x̄, ȳ). Pearson's correlation coefficient r = Sxy/√(Sxx·Syy) lies between −1 and 1; r² is the fraction of the variation in y explained by the line.
Means
x̄ = 42/6 = 7
ȳ = 71/6 = 11.83
Sums of squares and products
Sxx = Σ(x − x̄)² = 70
Sxy = Σ(x − x̄)(y − ȳ) = 111
Regression line
b = 111/70 = 1.586
a = 11.83 − 1.586·7 = 0.7333
ŷ = 0.7333 + 1.586·x
Prediction
ŷ = 0.7333 + 1.586·11 = 18.18
Answer
ŷ = 18.18
9.Chi-square tests
Answer: χ² = 0.5128
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.
df = 1. At α = 0.05 the critical value is 3.841, so H₀ (independence) is not rejected.
10.Chi-square tests
Answer: χ² = 26.77
Chi-square tests: compare observed counts O with the counts E expected under H₀ using χ² = Σ(O − E)²/E. Goodness of fit: E = n·p for each category, df = k − 1 (minus one more for each parameter estimated from the data). Independence in an r × c table: E = row total × column total / grand total, df = (r − 1)(c − 1). Reject H₀ when χ² exceeds the critical value for the chosen α.