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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You need €50 000 in 2 years. An account pays 4% per year, compounded quarterly. How much must you deposit today? Find the present value PV.
FV = €50 0004% / 4n = 2
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A mortgage of €250 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 30 years at 2.4% per year, compounded monthly. How much is still owed just after the payment at the end of year 15? Find the outstanding balance B.
P = €250 0002.4% / 12N = 360k = 180
B = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A machine costs €80 000 today, lasts 10 years and costs €1 500 per year to run (paid at the end of each year). The cost of capital is 6%. Find its equivalent annual cost EAC.
C0 = €80 000M = €1 500n = 10r = 6%
EAC = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
A project costs €20 000 and returns €9 000, €13 000 at the end of years 1 to 2. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −20 000CF1 = 9 000CF2 = 13 000
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 matures in 12 years and pays annual coupons. It sells for €832 when the yield to maturity is 6%. Find the coupon rate c in percent.
F = €1 000n = 12P = €832YTM = 6%
c = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with 10 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 9%) sells for €1 140. The issuer can call it in 4 years at a call price of €1 090. Find the yield to call YTC in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 9%P = €1 140call price = €1 090call in 4 years
YTC = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has a debt-to-equity ratio (at market values) of 1. Its cost of equity is 9%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 3.5% and the tax rate is 25.8%. Find the WACC.
D/E = 1re = 9%rd = 3.5%T = 25.8%
WACC = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
A company has 1 000 000 shares at €20.00 each and 5 000 bonds trading at €1 020 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 3.5% and the tax rate is 30%. The share’s beta is 0.8, the risk-free rate 1.5% and the market return 8.5%. Find the WACC.
β = 0.8rf = 1.5%rm = 8.5%rd = 3.5%T = 30%
WACC = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A product can be made in two ways. Method A has fixed costs of €25 000 per year and a variable cost of €20 per unit. Method B, more automated, has fixed costs of €32 500 per year and a variable cost of €17 per unit. At what yearly volume Q do both methods cost the same?
FA = €25 000vA = €20FB = €32 500vB = €17
Q = units
10.Break-even analysisHard
A product sells for €25 per unit, with a variable cost of €20 per unit and fixed costs of €20 000 per year. Budgeted sales are 6 400 units. Find the margin of safety MS as a percentage of budgeted sales.
F = €20 000p = €25v = €20budget = 6 400
MS = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 46174 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rate and number of periods
i = 0.04/4 = 0.01
N = 4·2 = 8
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)N = 50 000/1.083 = €46 174.16
Answer
PV = €46 174.16
2.Time value of money
Answer: B = 147238 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly payment
i = 0.002, N = 360
A = 250 000·0.002/(1 − (1 + 0.002)−360) = €974.85
Present value of the remaining payments
Whatever is still owed must be exactly paid off by the remaining payments.
N − k = 360 − 180 = 180
B = 974.9·(1 − (1 + 0.002)−180)/0.002 = €147 238.35
Answer
B = €147 238.35
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: EAC = 12369 €
Equivalent annual cost: spread the present value of all costs over the life as an equal yearly amount (an annuity): EAC = PV·r/(1 − (1 + r)⁻ⁿ). It lets you compare machines with different lives.
Annuity factor
(1 − 1.06−10)/0.06 = 7.36
Annualised purchase price
80 000/7.36 = 10 869.44
EAC
EAC = 10 869.44 + 1 500 = €12 369.44
Answer
EAC = €12 369.44
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 6.203 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(5%) = 362.81
NPV(10%) = −1 074.38
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Present value of the face value
1000·(1 + 0.06)−12 = €496.97
Coupon
C = (832 − 496.97)/8.384 = €39.96
Coupon rate
c = 39.96/1000 = 3.996%
Answer
c = 3.996%
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTC = 6.906 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
1140 = 90·(1 − (1 + y)−4)/y + 1090/(1 + y)4
Solve numerically
y = 6%: €1 175.24
y = 7%: €1 136.40
YTC = 6.906%
Answer
YTC = 6.906%
The yield to maturity is 7.006%. Investors in a premium bond expect it to be called, so the lower yield to call is the more realistic one.
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 5.798 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Weights from D/E
E/V = 1/(1 + 1) = 0.5
D/V = 1/(1 + 1) = 0.5
WACC
WACC = 0.5·9% + 0.5·3.5%·(1 − 0.258) = 5.798%
Answer
WACC = 5.798%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 6.155 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Equal total costs
25 000 + 20Q = 32 500 + 17Q
Solve for Q
Q = (32 500 − 25 000)/(20 − 17) = 2 500
Answer
Q = 2 500 units
Below this volume method A is cheaper; above it the automated method B is cheaper.
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: MS = 37.5 %
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).