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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You invest €2 000 at 3% per year with continuous compounding. Find the value FV after 11 years.
PV = €2 000r = 3%t = 11
FV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
You want €25 000 in 18 years. You save the same amount at the end of every month in an account paying 3.6% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly deposit A.
FV = €25 0003.6% / 12N = 216
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A project costs €30 000 today and returns €13 000, €13 000, €11 000, €11 000 at the end of years 1 to 4. The cost of capital is 5%. Assume cash flows arrive evenly through each year. Find the discounted payback period DPB in years.
A project costs €50 000 and returns €15 500, €26 000, €19 000, €19 000 at the end of years 1 to 4. Cash flows can be reinvested at the cost of capital of 8%. Find the modified internal rate of return MIRR in percent.
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 2% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 7 years. The yield to maturity is 9% per year. Find the price P of the bond.
F = €1 000coupon = 2%YTM = 9%n = 7
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays an annual coupon of 3% and matures in 5 years. The yield to maturity is 5%. Find the Macaulay duration D in years.
F = €1 000coupon = 3%n = 5YTM = 5%
D = years
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has equity worth €12 000 000 and debt worth €5 000 000. Its cost of equity is 8%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 3% and the tax rate is 25.8%. Find the WACC.
A company has 2 500 000 shares at €20.50 each and 40 000 bonds trading at €1 020 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 4.5% and the tax rate is 25.8%. The share’s beta is 0.6, the risk-free rate 3.5% and the market return 9.5%. Find the WACC.
β = 0.6rf = 3.5%rm = 9.5%rd = 4.5%T = 25.8%
WACC = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A company sells 2 400 units at €25 each. The variable cost is €15 per unit and fixed costs are €12 000. Find the degree of operating leverage DOL at this sales level.
Q = 2 400p = €25v = €15F = €12 000
DOL =
10.Break-even analysisHard
A product sells for €18 per unit, with a variable cost of €12 per unit and fixed costs of €6 000 per year. Budgeted sales are 1 250 units. Find the margin of safety MS as a percentage of budgeted sales.
F = €6 000p = €18v = €12budget = 1 250
MS = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 2782 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Exponent
r·t = 0.03·11 = 0.33
e0.33 = 1.391
Future value
FV = 2 000·1.391 = €2 781.94
Answer
FV = €2 781.94
2.Time value of money
Answer: A = 82.43 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Payback period: the time until the cumulative cash flows repay the initial investment. Cash is assumed to come in evenly during each year, so the last part is a fraction of a year. The simple payback ignores the time value of money; the discounted payback period uses the discounted cash flows instead.
Discounted and cumulative cash flows
year 1: 13 000/1.05 = 12 380.95 → Σ = 12 380.95
year 2: 13 000/1.103 = 11 791.38 → Σ = 24 172.34
year 3: 11 000/1.158 = 9 502.21 → Σ = 33 674.55
Fraction of the last year
DPB = 2 + 5 827.66/9 502.21 = 2.613
Answer
DPB = 2.613 years
The discounted payback is always longer than the simple payback (2.364 years).
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: MIRR = 15.63 %
Modified IRR: compound every inflow forward to the end of the project at the reinvestment rate (usually the cost of capital) to get the terminal value TV. MIRR is the rate that turns the initial investment into TV: MIRR = (TV/C₀)^(1/n) − 1.
Terminal value of the inflows
15 500·1.083 = 19 525.54
26 000·1.082 = 30 326.40
19 000·1.081 = 20 520.00
19 000·1.080 = 19 000.00
TV = 89 371.94
MIRR
MIRR = (89 371.94/50 000)1/4 − 1 = 15.63%
Answer
MIRR = 15.63%
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 642.2 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €10.00, i = 0.045, N = 14
Present value of the coupons
€10.00·(1 − 0.54)/0.045 = €102.23
Present value of the face value
€1 000·0.54 = €539.97
Price
P = €642.20
Answer
P = €642.20
The yield is above the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a discount.
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: D = 4.702 years
Duration: the Macaulay duration is the weighted average time at which a bond pays its cash flows, with the present values of the cash flows as weights: D = Σ t·PVₜ/P. The modified duration D/(1 + y) estimates the percentage price change for a small change in yield: %ΔP ≈ −Dmod·Δy.
Present value of each cash flow
t = 1: 30/1.05 = 28.57, t·PV = 28.57
t = 2: 30/1.103 = 27.21, t·PV = 54.42
t = 3: 30/1.158 = 25.92, t·PV = 77.75
t = 4: 30/1.216 = 24.68, t·PV = 98.72
t = 5: 1030/1.276 = 807.03, t·PV = 4 035.16
Duration
P = 913.41
D = 4 294.62/913.41 = 4.702
Answer
D = 4.702 years
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 6.302 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Weights
V = €17 000 000, E/V = 0.7059, D/V = 0.2941
WACC
WACC = 0.7059·8% + 0.2941·3%·(1 − 0.258) = 6.302%
Answer
WACC = 6.302%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 5.433 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Operating leverage: fixed costs make profit react more strongly than sales. The degree of operating leverage DOL = contribution margin/operating profit tells you that a 1% change in sales changes profit by DOL %. It is very high just above break-even and falls as sales grow.
Total contribution margin
CM = 2 400·(25 − 15) = €24 000
Operating profit
Π = 24 000 − 12 000 = €12 000
DOL
DOL = 24 000/12 000 = 2
Answer
DOL = 2
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: MS = 20 %
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).