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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You invest €20 000 at a nominal rate of 3.6% per year, compounded monthly. Find the value FV of the investment after 3 years.
PV = €20 0003.6% / 12n = 3
FV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
A loan of €150 000 is repaid with equal monthly payments over 25 years. The interest rate is 6% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly payment A.
P = €150 0006% / 12N = 300
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
An investment of €45 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 3: €10 000, €17 000, €11 000. The cost of capital is 5%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €10 000 and returns €6 500, €5 500, €5 500 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −10 000CF1 = 6 500CF2 = 5 500CF3 = 5 500
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 4.5% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 5 years. The yield to maturity is 5% per year. Find the price P of the bond.
F = €1 000coupon = 4.5%YTM = 5%n = 5
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with 20 years to maturity (face value €1 000, annual coupon 5%) sells for €1 136. The issuer can call it in 6 years at a call price of €1 050. Find the yield to call YTC in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 5%P = €1 136call price = €1 050call in 6 years
YTC = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A share with a beta of 1.5 has a required return of 14.5%. The risk-free rate is 4%. What expected market return rm does CAPM imply?
β = 1.5re = 14.5%rf = 4%
rm = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
A company has 5 000 000 shares trading at €49.50; the book value of its equity is €123 800 000. It just paid a dividend of €1.70 per share, and dividends grow by 5% per year. Its debt has a market value of €74 300 000 and a pre-tax cost of 4.5%. The tax rate is 25%. Find the WACC, using the dividend growth model for the cost of equity.
A product sells for €40 per unit with a variable cost of €20 per unit. Fixed costs are €30 000 per month. How many units Q must be sold per month to make a profit of €20 000?
F = €30 000p = €40v = €20profit = €20 000
Q = units
10.Break-even analysisHard
A product sells for €53 per unit, with a variable cost of €45 per unit and fixed costs of €32 000 per year. Budgeted sales are 6 400 units. Find the margin of safety MS as a percentage of budgeted sales.
F = €32 000p = €53v = €45budget = 6 400
MS = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 22277 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Monthly rate and number of payments
i = 0.06/12 = 0.005
N = 12·25 = 300
Payment
The present value of N equal payments A is A·(1 − (1 + i)⁻ᴺ)/i. Set it equal to the loan and solve for A.
(1 + i)−N = 0.224
A = 150 000·0.005/(1 − 0.224) = €966.45
Answer
A = €966.45
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: NPV = −10554 €
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −45 000
CF1/(1 + 0.05)1 = 10 000/1.05 = 9 523.81
CF2/(1 + 0.05)2 = 17 000/1.103 = 15 419.50
CF3/(1 + 0.05)3 = 11 000/1.158 = 9 502.21
Add them up
NPV = €−10 554.48
Answer
NPV = €−10 554.48
NPV is negative, so the project earns less than the required return.
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 35.53 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(35%) = 68.08
NPV(40%) = −546.65
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.
IRR ≈ 35 + 5·68.08/(68.08 − (−546.65)) = 35.55%
exact: NPV(35.53%) = 0 → IRR = 35.53%
Answer
IRR = 35.53%
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 978.1 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €22.50, i = 0.025, N = 10
Present value of the coupons
€22.50·(1 − 0.7812)/0.025 = €196.92
Present value of the face value
€1 000·0.7812 = €781.20
Price
P = €978.12
Answer
P = €978.12
The yield is above the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a discount.
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTC = 3.238 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
1136 = 50·(1 − (1 + y)−6)/y + 1050/(1 + y)6
Solve numerically
y = 3%: €1 150.22
y = 4%: €1 091.94
YTC = 3.238%
Answer
YTC = 3.238%
The yield to maturity is 3.999%. Investors in a premium bond expect it to be called, so the lower yield to call is the more realistic one.
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: rm = 11 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Market risk premium
rm − rf = (14.5% − 4%)/1.5 = 7%
Market return
rm = 4% + 7% = 11%
Answer
rm = 11%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 7.398 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).