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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
An annuity pays €500 at the end of each year for 14 years. The interest rate is 3% per year. Find the present value PV of the annuity.
A = €500i = 3%n = 14
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
You want €25 000 in 6 years. You save the same amount at the end of every month in an account paying 3% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly deposit A.
FV = €25 0003% / 12N = 72
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
An investment of €75 000 gives these cash flows at the end of years 1 to 4: €24 000, €24 000, €19 000, €32 000. The cost of capital is 9%. Find the net present value NPV.
A project costs €50 000 and returns €26 500, €31 500, €19 000 at the end of years 1 to 3. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
CF0 = −50 000CF1 = 26 500CF2 = 31 500CF3 = 19 000
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 matures in 11 years and pays annual coupons. It sells for €960 when the yield to maturity is 5.5%. Find the coupon rate c in percent.
F = €1 000n = 11P = €960YTM = 5.5%
c = %
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond trades at €945 with a yield to maturity of 6% (annual compounding) and a Macaulay duration of 3.5 years. Use the modified duration to estimate the new price P if the yield rises by 75 basis points.
P0 = €945y = 6%D = 3.5Δy = +75 bp
P = €
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company is financed with ordinary shares worth €4 000 000, preferred shares worth €2 000 000 and debt worth €6 000 000. The cost of equity is 9%, the cost of preferred stock 8% and the pre-tax cost of debt 4.5%. The tax rate is 21%. Find the WACC.
A company's business has an unlevered (asset) beta of 1. It plans a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.5. The tax rate is 28%, the risk-free rate is 3% and the market risk premium is 5.5%. Find the cost of equity re at the new capital structure.
βU = 1D/E = 1.5T = 28%rf = 3%rm − rf = 5.5%
re = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A product sells for €28 with a variable cost of €18 per unit. Fixed costs are €15 000 per month and profit is taxed at 25%. How many units Q must be sold per month to earn €4 500 after tax?
A company sells two products. Product A sells for €13 with a variable cost of €8; product B sells for €40 with a variable cost of €25. They sell in a fixed mix of 4 units of A for every 1 of B. Fixed costs are €14 000 per month. Find the total number of units Q (A and B together) needed to break even.
pA = €13, vA = €8pB = €40, vB = €25A : B = 4 : 1F = €14 000
Q = units
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 5648 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Annuity factor
(1 − (1 + i)−n)/i = (1 − 0.6611)/0.03 = 11.3
Present value
PV = 500·11.3 = €5 648.04
Answer
PV = €5 648.04
2.Time value of money
Answer: A = 317.3 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Present value of each cash flow
CF0 = −75 000
CF1/(1 + 0.09)1 = 24 000/1.09 = 22 018.35
CF2/(1 + 0.09)2 = 24 000/1.188 = 20 200.32
CF3/(1 + 0.09)3 = 19 000/1.295 = 14 671.49
CF4/(1 + 0.09)4 = 32 000/1.412 = 22 669.61
Add them up
NPV = €4 559.76
Answer
NPV = €4 559.76
NPV is positive, so the project earns more than the required return.
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: IRR = 26.53 %
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Bracket the IRR
NPV falls as the rate rises, so the IRR lies between a rate with positive NPV and one with negative NPV.
NPV(25%) = 1 088.00
NPV(30%) = −2 328.17
Narrow down
Linear interpolation gives a first estimate; repeating it (or a calculator's IRR function) gives the exact rate.
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Present value of the face value
1000·(1 + 0.055)−11 = €554.91
Coupon
C = (960 − 554.91)/8.093 = €50.06
Coupon rate
c = 50.06/1000 = 5.006%
Answer
c = 5.006%
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 921.6 €
Duration: the Macaulay duration is the weighted average time at which a bond pays its cash flows, with the present values of the cash flows as weights: D = Σ t·PVₜ/P. The modified duration D/(1 + y) estimates the percentage price change for a small change in yield: %ΔP ≈ −Dmod·Δy.
Modified duration
Dmod = 3.5/1.06 = 3.302
Estimated price change
%ΔP ≈ −3.302·(0.0075) = −2.476%
P ≈ 945·(1 − 0.02476) = €921.60
Answer
P = €921.60
Duration is a linear estimate; for large yield changes convexity makes the true price a little higher.
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 6.111 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Levered beta (Hamada): debt makes equity riskier. βL = βU·(1 + (1 − T)·D/E), where βU is the beta of the business without debt. To move a beta to another capital structure, unlever it first and then relever it at the new D/E.
Levered beta
βL = 1·(1 + 0.72·1.5) = 2.08
Cost of equity (CAPM)
re = 3% + 2.08·5.5% = 14.44%
Answer
re = 14.44%
9.Break-even analysis
Answer: Q = 2100 units
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Pre-tax profit needed
4 500/(1 − 0.25) = €6 000
Units needed
Q = (15 000 + 6 000)/10 = 2 100
Answer
Q = 2 100 units
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: Q = 2000 units
Break-even with a sales mix: when products sell in a fixed ratio, use the weighted average contribution margin: weight each product's p − v by its share of units. Break-even units = F/(weighted contribution margin), split again in the mix ratio.