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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
A credit card charges a nominal interest rate of 16% per year, compounded semi-annually. Find the effective annual rate EAR in percent.
r = 16%m = 2
EAR = %
2.Time value of moneyHard
You want €30 000 in 11 years. You save the same amount at the end of every month in an account paying 7.2% per year, compounded monthly. Find the monthly deposit A.
FV = €30 0007.2% / 12N = 132
A = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A machine costs €60 000 today. It generates €7 500 at the end of each year for 8 years and can then be sold for €9 000. The cost of capital is 10%. Find the net present value NPV.
C0 = €60 000CF = €7 500S = €9 000n = 8r = 10%
NPV = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
An investment of €80 000 returns €16 000 at the end of each year for 10 years. Find its internal rate of return IRR in percent.
C0 = €80 000CF = €16 000n = 10
IRR = %
5.Bond pricing & yieldMedium
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 7% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 12 years. The yield to maturity is 9% per year. Find the price P of the bond.
F = €1 000coupon = 7%YTM = 9%n = 12
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 and an annual coupon of 6% matures in 3 years and sells for €960. Find its yield to maturity YTM in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 6%n = 3P = €960
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has equity worth €6 000 000 and debt worth €2 000 000. Its cost of equity is 8%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 3% and the tax rate is 28%. Find the WACC.
E = €6 000 000D = €2 000 000re = 8%rd = 3%T = 28%
WACC = %
8.CAPM & WACCHard
A company has 2 500 000 shares at €31.00 each and 10 000 bonds trading at €960 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 3% and the tax rate is 28%. The share’s beta is 1.2, the risk-free rate 4% and the market return 8.5%. Find the WACC.
β = 1.2rf = 4%rm = 8.5%rd = 3%T = 28%
WACC = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A product sells for €12 with a variable cost of €8 per unit. Fixed costs are €4 000 per month and profit is taxed at 20%. How many units Q must be sold per month to earn €2 000 after tax?
A product sells for €13 per unit, with a variable cost of €8 per unit and fixed costs of €5 000 per year. Budgeted sales are 1 600 units. Find the margin of safety MS as a percentage of budgeted sales.
F = €5 000p = €13v = €8budget = 1 600
MS = %
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: EAR = 16.64 %
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rate per period
r/m = 0.16/2 = 0.08
Compound over one year
EAR = (1 + 0.08)2 − 1 = 1.166 − 1 = 16.64%
Answer
EAR = 16.64%
The EAR is always above the nominal rate when interest compounds more than once a year.
2.Time value of money
Answer: A = 149.7 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Net present value: discount every cash flow back to today with the required rate of return r, then add them up: NPV = Σ CFₜ/(1 + r)ᵗ. A project with NPV > 0 earns more than r and adds value. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate at which NPV = 0.
Required annuity factor
(1 − (1 + i)−10)/i = 80 000/16 000 = 5
Solve for the rate
The annuity factor falls as the rate rises; bracket the rate and narrow down.
i = 15%: 5.019
i = 16%: 4.833
IRR = 15.1%
Answer
IRR = 15.1%
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 855 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €35.00, i = 0.045, N = 24
Present value of the coupons
€35.00·(1 − 0.3477)/0.045 = €507.34
Present value of the face value
€1 000·0.3477 = €347.70
Price
P = €855.05
Answer
P = €855.05
The yield is above the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a discount.
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTM = 7.539 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Equation for the yield
€960 = €60·(1 − (1 + y)⁻³)/y + €1 000/(1 + y)³
Solve numerically
P(7%) = €973.76, P(8%) = €948.46
YTM = 7.539%
Answer
YTM = 7.539%
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 6.54 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Weights
V = €8 000 000, E/V = 0.75, D/V = 0.25
WACC
WACC = 0.75·8% + 0.25·3%·(1 − 0.28) = 6.54%
Answer
WACC = 6.54%
8.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 8.602 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Pre-tax profit needed
2 000/(1 − 0.2) = €2 500
Units needed
Q = (4 000 + 2 500)/4 = 1 625
Answer
Q = 1 625 units
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: MS = 37.5 %
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).