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1Formulas and methods
Time value of money
Future value
FV = PV·(1 + i)n
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)n
Several periods per year
i = r/m, N = m·n
Annuity, present value
PV = PMT·[1 − (1 + i)−n]/i
Annuity, future value
FV = PMT·[(1 + i)n − 1]/i
Method
Draw a timeline with every cash flow and its timing.
Match the rate to the period: a monthly rate for monthly payments.
Use FV = PV·(1 + i)ⁿ for single amounts and the annuity formulas for equal payments.
Check the sign and the order of magnitude of the answer.
NPV & IRR
Net present value
NPV = −C0 + Σ CFt/(1 + r)t
Equal cash flows
NPV = −C0 + CF·[1 − (1 + r)−n]/r
Internal rate of return
the r at which NPV = 0
Decision
accept when NPV > 0 (or IRR > required return)
Method
List all cash flows with their year; the investment at year 0 is negative.
Discount each cash flow: CFt/(1 + r)t.
Add them up to get the NPV. Positive means the project earns more than r.
For the IRR, find the rate that makes NPV zero by trial or interpolation.
Bond pricing & yield
Bond price
P = C·(1 − (1 + y)−n)/y + F/(1 + y)n
Semi-annual
C/2, y/2 and 2n periods
Current yield
C/P
Price and yield
yield up → price down
Method
Find the coupon per period and the yield per period.
Price = present value of the coupons (an annuity) + present value of the face value.
For semi-annual coupons use half the coupon, half the yield and twice the periods.
Check: if the yield is above the coupon rate, the price is below face value.
CAPM & WACC
CAPM
re = rf + β·(rm − rf)
WACC
E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T)
Firm value
V = E + D
Break-even analysis
Contribution margin
CM = p − v
Break-even quantity
QBE = FC/(p − v)
Target profit
Q = (FC + profit)/(p − v)
Profit
π = (p − v)·Q − FC
Margin of safety
(Q − QBE)/Q
2Practice problems
1.Time value of moneyMedium
You need €25 000 in 2 years. An account pays 5% per year, compounded quarterly. How much must you deposit today? Find the present value PV.
FV = €25 0005% / 4n = 2
PV = €
2.Time value of moneyHard
You save €150 at the end of every month for 9 years. The account pays 3.6% per year, compounded monthly. How much have you saved at the end? Find FV.
A = €1503.6% / 12N = 108
FV = €
3.NPV & IRRMedium
A machine costs €30 000 today, lasts 4 years and costs €4 000 per year to run (paid at the end of each year). The cost of capital is 12%. Find its equivalent annual cost EAC.
C0 = €30 000M = €4 000n = 4r = 12%
EAC = €
4.NPV & IRRHard
A project costs €20 000 and returns €7 500, €7 500, €8 000, €6 000 at the end of years 1 to 4. Cash flows can be reinvested at the cost of capital of 10%. Find the modified internal rate of return MIRR in percent.
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 4.5% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 4 years. The yield to maturity is 3.5% per year. Find the price P of the bond.
F = €1 000coupon = 4.5%YTM = 3.5%n = 4
P = €
6.Bond pricing & yieldHard
A bond with a face value of €1 000 pays a 7% annual coupon in two half-yearly payments and matures in 4 years. It sells for €1 072. Find its yield to maturity YTM as an annual rate (twice the half-yearly yield), in percent.
F = €1 000coupon = 7% (2×)n = 4P = €1 072
YTM = %
7.CAPM & WACCMedium
A company has equity worth €6 000 000 and debt worth €1 000 000. Its cost of equity is 11%, its pre-tax cost of debt is 4.5% and the tax rate is 28%. Find the WACC.
A company has 2 000 000 shares at €8.00 each and 5 000 bonds trading at €1 050 each. The pre-tax cost of debt is 6% and the tax rate is 25.8%. The share’s beta is 0.6, the risk-free rate 3.5% and the market return 10%. Find the WACC.
β = 0.6rf = 3.5%rm = 10%rd = 6%T = 25.8%
WACC = %
9.Break-even analysisMedium
A product can be made in two ways. Method A has fixed costs of €20 000 per year and a variable cost of €25 per unit. Method B, more automated, has fixed costs of €30 000 per year and a variable cost of €23 per unit. At what yearly volume Q do both methods cost the same?
FA = €20 000vA = €25FB = €30 000vB = €23
Q = units
10.Break-even analysisHard
A company sells two products. Product A sells for €13 with a variable cost of €8; product B sells for €18 with a variable cost of €10. They sell in a fixed mix of 3 units of A for every 2 of B. Fixed costs are €12 400 per month. Find the total number of units Q (A and B together) needed to break even.
pA = €13, vA = €8pB = €18, vB = €10A : B = 3 : 2F = €12 400
Q = units
3Solutions
1.Time value of money
Answer: PV = 22635 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
Rate and number of periods
i = 0.05/4 = 0.0125
N = 4·2 = 8
Present value
PV = FV/(1 + i)N = 25 000/1.104 = €22 634.96
Answer
PV = €22 634.96
2.Time value of money
Answer: FV = 19099 €
Time value of money: money today is worth more than the same amount later, because it can earn interest. With interest rate i per period, an amount grows as FV = PV·(1 + i)n. A series of equal payments (an annuity) is valued by adding up each payment, which gives the annuity formulas.
You paid in €16 200 yourself; the rest is interest.
3.NPV & IRR
Answer: EAC = 13877 €
Equivalent annual cost: spread the present value of all costs over the life as an equal yearly amount (an annuity): EAC = PV·r/(1 − (1 + r)⁻ⁿ). It lets you compare machines with different lives.
Annuity factor
(1 − 1.12−4)/0.12 = 3.037
Annualised purchase price
30 000/3.037 = 9 877.03
EAC
EAC = 9 877.03 + 4 000 = €13 877.03
Answer
EAC = €13 877.03
4.NPV & IRR
Answer: MIRR = 14.07 %
Modified IRR: compound every inflow forward to the end of the project at the reinvestment rate (usually the cost of capital) to get the terminal value TV. MIRR is the rate that turns the initial investment into TV: MIRR = (TV/C₀)^(1/n) − 1.
Terminal value of the inflows
7 500·1.13 = 9 982.50
7 500·1.12 = 9 075.00
8 000·1.11 = 8 800.00
6 000·1.10 = 6 000.00
TV = 33 857.50
MIRR
MIRR = (33 857.50/20 000)1/4 − 1 = 14.07%
Answer
MIRR = 14.07%
5.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: P = 1037 €
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €22.50, i = 0.0175, N = 8
Present value of the coupons
€22.50·(1 − 0.8704)/0.0175 = €166.61
Present value of the face value
€1 000·0.8704 = €870.41
Price
P = €1 037.03
Answer
P = €1 037.03
The yield is below the coupon rate, so the bond sells at a premium.
6.Bond pricing & yield
Answer: YTM = 4.992 %
Bond pricing: a bond’s price is the present value of its cash flows, discounted at the yield to maturity (YTM): the coupons form an annuity and the face value is paid back at maturity. P = C·(1 − (1 + y)⁻ⁿ)/y + F/(1 + y)ⁿ. When the yield is above the coupon rate the bond trades below face value, and the other way round.
Per period
C = €35.00, N = 8
Solve numerically
i = 2.496% per half-year
YTM
YTM = 2·2.496% = 4.992%
Answer
YTM = 4.992%
7.CAPM & WACC
Answer: WACC = 9.891 %
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost of capital: CAPM gives the return shareholders require: re = rf + β·(rm − rf). The weighted average cost of capital mixes equity and debt by their market values: WACC = E/V·re + D/V·rd·(1 − T), with V = E + D. Interest is tax-deductible, hence the (1 − T).
Cost-volume-profit: each unit sold earns a contribution margin, price minus variable cost per unit. Profit = Q·(p − v) − F, where F is the fixed cost. At the break-even point profit is zero, so Q = F/(p − v).
Equal total costs
20 000 + 25Q = 30 000 + 23Q
Solve for Q
Q = (30 000 − 20 000)/(25 − 23) = 5 000
Answer
Q = 5 000 units
Below this volume method A is cheaper; above it the automated method B is cheaper.
10.Break-even analysis
Answer: Q = 2000 units
Break-even with a sales mix: when products sell in a fixed ratio, use the weighted average contribution margin: weight each product's p − v by its share of units. Break-even units = F/(weighted contribution margin), split again in the mix ratio.